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Polymarket wallet 0xf40af2b7ab1f472ac70f6c8f6afac07a88865899 · on Polymarket since Dec 29, 2025 · also shown as Turbulent-Kiwi
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,075 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 600 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 634 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$122 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,800 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
| Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,862 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$186 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 38 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.