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Polymarket wallet 0xf78236995394f94893430bc615204673d669ae8f · on Polymarket since Jan 12, 2026 · also shown as Jaded-Stain
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks vs. MagicSettled - ready to redeem | Bucks | 10 | 21¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$8 +376% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 255d | Bucks vs. Magic | BuyBucks21¢ | $2 |
| 270d | Ethereum Up or Down on January 27? | BuyUp57¢ | $11 |
| 270d | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | BuyDown41¢ | $8 |
| 272d | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25? | BuyUp13¢ | $3 |
| 272d | Ethereum Up or Down on January 24? | SellDown>99¢ | $30 |
| 273d | Ethereum Up or Down on January 24? | BuyDown60¢ | $12 |
| 273d | Ethereum Up or Down on January 24? | BuyDown58¢ | $6 |
| 274d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6AM ET | BuyUp79¢ | $16 |
| 279d | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 18? | BuyDown62¢ | $43 |
| 279d | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | SellYes96¢ | $43 |
| 280d | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes95¢ | $28 |
| 280d | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes95¢ | $15 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.