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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | Yes | 129 | 24¢ → 11¢ | $14 | −$17 −54% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | Yes | 15 | 20¢ → 21¢ | $3 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 50 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $3 | −$2 −38% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | Yes | 14 | 14¢ → 9¢ | $1 | −$1 −35% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | Yes | 12 | 17¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$1 −38% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 7 | 29¢ → 14¢ | $1 | −$1 −50% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115d | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes20¢ | $2 |
| 115d | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes20¢ | $1 |
| 143d | Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? | BuyYes26¢ | $22 |
| 143d | Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? | BuyYes21¢ | $11 |
| 143d | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BuyYes29¢ | $2 |
| 156d | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BuyYes3¢ | $3 |
| 156d | Iran leadership change by May 31? | BuyYes4¢ | $1 |
| 156d | Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
| 157d | Iran leadership change by May 31? | BuyYes6¢ | $2 |
| 157d | Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? | BuyYes8¢ | $2 |
| 158d | Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
| 159d | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes14¢ | $2 |
| 159d | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes17¢ | $2 |
| 159d | US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? | BuyYes73¢ | $5 |
| 160d | Iran leadership change by May 31? | BuyYes6¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.