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Polymarket wallet 0xff8d103b21c234b65390e947880fc1e105429b5d · on Polymarket since Jan 19, 2026 · also shown as Watchful-Shock
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 377 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$362 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,280 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 106 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 106 | 99¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$104 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 125 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 282 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 879 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 282 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 30 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.