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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67% | −1 pts | +6 pts | 66¢ · 68¢ (2¢) | — | in 249d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31d |  FrozenParasite | Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? | SellNo47¢ → 33¢ | $1,543 | +$469 +30% | — |
| 77d | FrozenParasite2 fills | Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? | BuyNo44¢ → 33¢ | $2,214 | −$572 −26% | 5 |
FrozenParasite4,701 shares
willsom721 shares
PMTraderAdam270 shares
PadreMaronno200 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a new party where Alofoke, otherwise known as Santiago Matías, is in a leadership position is officially recognised by the Central Electoral Board of the Dominican Republic (JCE) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying party must be newly formed and gain full recognition from the JCE by the listed date (see: https://jce.gob.do/Partidos-Politicos). A party will not qualify if it is an existing party that was simply renamed or recomposed with Alofoke in leadership. Alofoke must be in a leadership position of the party. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Dominican Republic, including the JCE (https://jce.gob.do).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 67¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 67%.