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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 450k-500k | 100% | +22 pts | +88 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <300k | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300k-350k | 0% | 0 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 350k-400k | 0% | −1 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 400k-450k | 0% | −2 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 500k-550k | 0% | −16 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 550k-600k | 0% | −1 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 600k+ | 0% | −1 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 154d | Deafening-Broom2 fills | 450k-500k | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $7,958 | −$404 −5.1% | — |
| 154d | tphhh | 450k-500k | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,912 | +$25 +0.1% | 4 |
| 154d | tphhh | 500k-550k | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,280 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 154d | carboyant | 450k-500k | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,162 | +$16 +0.3% | 4 |
| 154d |  Gleaming-Pear | 600k+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,275 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 154d | 0x06fd…c0be3 fills | 450k-500k | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $6,621 | +$613 +9.3% | 4 |
| 154d |  DREAMBIG. | 450k-500k | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | +$29 +2.5% | 4 |
| 154d | SaylorMoon8 fills | 450k-500k | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $21,449 | +$8,047 +38% | 4 |
| 155d | Thoughtful-Drink | 450k-500k | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | −$321 −30% | — |
| 155d | piblott | <300k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,697 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 156d | SaylorMoon | 550k-600k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,428 | +$27 +1.1% | 4 |
| 157d | Bigggggggg | 550k-600k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | +$12 +1.1% | 4 |
| 157d | Bigggggggg2 fills | 350k-400k | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,652 | +$70 +2.6% | 4 |
| 157d | Bigggggggg2 fills | 600k+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,039 | +$37 +1.8% | 4 |
| 157d | Bigggggggg3 fills | 300k-350k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,674 | +$85 +2.3% | 4 |
| 157d | Bigggggggg2 fills | <300k | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,069 | +$7 +0.4% | 4 |
| 157d | UESSSE45 | 300k-350k | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,848 | −$20 −0.7% | — |
| 157d | omnibus-424779 | 450k-500k | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | −$205 −19% | — |
| 157d | Hud1nis | 500k-550k | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | −$76 −7.0% | — |
| 157d | SaylorMoon | 500k-550k | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $9,637 | +$3,342 +35% | 4 |
| 157d | matrixisrealfosho | 450k-500k | SellNo43¢ → 0¢ | $1,384 | +$1,384 +100% | — |
| 158d | SmolDog | 450k-500k | SellYes54¢ → 100¢ | $1,506 | −$1,306 −87% | — |
| 158d | SaylorMoon | 500k-550k | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,103 | −$1,103 −100% | 4 |
| 158d | SmolDog | 500k-550k | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,215 | −$1,215 −100% | 5 |
| 158d | Bigggggggg2 fills | 500k-550k | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,184 | +$536 +25% | 4 |
| 158d | Plaintive-Convection | 500k-550k | SellYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,293 | +$1,293 +100% | — |
| 158d | nonkenny90 | 600k+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,586 | +$34 +2.1% | 4 |
| 158d | SaylorMoon4 fills | 600k+ | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $22,986 | +$5,257 +23% | 4 |
| 159d | Marhal | <300k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,402 | +$10 +0.7% | 4 |
| 159d | Portly-Kill | 500k-550k | SellYes41¢ → 0¢ | $2,077 | +$2,077 +100% | — |
| 159d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | <300k | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,598 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 159d | Plaintive-Convection | 500k-550k | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 159d |  raffamoreira | 500k-550k | SellYes44¢ → 0¢ | $1,157 | +$1,157 +100% | — |
| 159d | raffamoreira | 500k-550k | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $2,236 | −$2,236 −100% | 4 |
| 160d | AL1992 | 500k-550k | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 5 |
| 160d | Bigggggggg | 450k-500k | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $1,298 | −$1,298 −100% | 4 |
| 160d | Bigggggggg | 400k-450k | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,520 | +$163 +11% | 4 |
| 160d | wowoowowowowowoowowowowow | 600k+ | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | −$335 −27% | — |
Everlasting-Friend9 sharesDrake's new album 'Iceman' is expected to release in the summer of 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Drake's album 'Iceman', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Iceman' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 450k-500k means the market gives it about 100%.