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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118d | Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $43,592 | +$457 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 121d | Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,454 | −$126 −1.3% | — | |
| 141d | selador | Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 |
| 144d | Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $17,105 | −$271 −1.6% | — | |
| 148d | QMG-SCALAR | Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,493 | +$38 +1.5% | 4 |
| 149d | Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,618 | −$99 −1.5% | — | |
| 157d | Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $15,562 | +$261 +1.7% | 4 | |
| 157d | Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,214 | +$201 +2.4% | 4 | |
| 157d | Scaly-Assessment | Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | BuyYes3¢ → 0¢ | $1,624 | −$1,624 −100% | 14 |
| 162d | Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,056 | +$110 +2.7% | 4 | |
| 163d | QMG-SCALAR | Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | −$21 −1.9% | — |
| 164d | Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,454 | +$195 +2.1% | 4 | |
| 166d | Jjw2 fills | Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,511 | +$67 +2.7% | 4 |
| 166d | Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,467 | +$33 +2.2% | 4 | |
| 166d | Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,750 | +$250 +2.6% | 4 | |
| 167d | h0385960273552 fills | Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,472 | +$98 +2.8% | 4 |
| 168d | Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,301 | +$92 +2.8% | 4 | |
| 169d | QMG-CORE | Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,222 | +$83 +2.6% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any hantavirus case linked to the hantavirus outbreak on the MV Hondius cruise ship is confirmed to have originated from a medical laboratory or research facility by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Confirmation that the hantavirus case originated from a medical laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting is required. Definitive confirmation that the lab-originated case directly caused the outbreak on the MV Hondius is not required, provided a consensus of credible reporting indicates that the lab-originated case is a possible source of, or is otherwise plausibly connected to, the MV Hondius outbreak. Investigations, speculation, statements that a lab origin is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.