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Polymarket wallet 0xb0541d3a4e179217ab7ec9e3a03b138e7c5ac9d2 · on Polymarket since Aug 31, 2024 · also shown as Quixotic-Dungeon
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,176 | 8¢ → 2¢ | $28 | −$72 −72% |
| Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,448 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$88 −100% |
| Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 235 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 167d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BuyYes8¢ | $105 |
| 167d | Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? | BuyYes3¢ | $105 |
| 259d | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February? | BuyYes4¢ | $88 |
| 266d | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | BuyYes7¢ | $100 |
| 753d | Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30? | BuyNo10¢ | $13 |
| 756d | Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30? | BuyNo8¢ | $4 |
| 756d | Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30? | BuyNo9¢ | $5 |
| 774d | Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10? | BuyNo1¢ | $3 |
| 774d | Will Trump say "McDonald's" at debate? | BuyYes19¢ | $1 |
| 774d | Will Kamala say "abortion" at debate? | BuyNo12¢ | $2 |
| 774d | Will Kamala say "inflation" at debate? | BuyNo17¢ | $1 |
| 774d | Will Kamala say "I'm speaking" at debate? | BuyYes19¢ | $2 |
| 774d | Will Kamala say "weird" or "weirdo" at debate? | BuyYes21¢ | $1 |
| 774d | Will Kamala say "unrealized" at debate? | BuyYes24¢ | $1 |
| 774d | Will Trump say "border" 15 or more times at debate? | BuyNo42¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.