| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 861 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $711 | −$4 −0.6% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 401 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $392 | −$1 −0.2% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 394 | 76¢ → 96¢ | $377 | +$77 +26% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 349 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $341 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 303 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $299 | +$2 +0.7% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 301 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $290 | +$6 +2.2% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 221 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $212 | +$13 +6.8% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 221 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $210 | +$2 +0.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 240 | 72¢ → 75¢ | $179 | +$6 +3.7% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,649 | 65¢ → 9¢ | $148 | −$929 −86% |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 147 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $134 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 123 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $120 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 120 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $116 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 118 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $116 | +$7 +6.9% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 116 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $112 | +$2 +1.6% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 638 | 36¢ → 18¢ | $112 | −$121 −52% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,126 | 10¢ → 10¢ | $107 | −$8 −6.6% |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 129 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $105 | +$3 +2.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 101 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $98 | +$6 +6.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 461 | 23¢ → 21¢ | $97 | −$8 −7.6% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 104 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $97 | +$4 +4.5% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 100 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $94 | +$3 +3.3% |
| Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $93 | −$1 −1.1% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | No | 90 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $87 | +$6 +7.1% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 159d | No | 91 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $86 | +$3 +3.3% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 93 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $85 | +$3 +3.2% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | No | 82 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $82 | +$2 +3.0% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 79¢ → 80¢ | $80 | +$1 +0.6% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 346 | 27¢ → 23¢ | $78 | −$15 −16% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 100 | 61¢ → 77¢ | $77 | +$16 +27% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 84 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $76 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 78 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $76 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 76 | 46¢ → >99¢ | $75 | +$41 +119% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 78 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $71 | +$2 +3.5% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 68 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $68 | +$5 +7.7% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 73 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $66 | −$2 −3.1% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 6,111 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $64 | +$9 +17% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 70 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $64 | −$1 −1.0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 668 | 7¢ → 9¢ | $59 | +$11 +23% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 5d | Yes | 68 | 57¢ → 84¢ | $57 | +$18 +47% |
| Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?Ends in 63d | Yes | 59 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $54 | +$3 +6.4% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | No | 55 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $52 | +$2 +4.2% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 47d | Yes | 67 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $52 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 82 | 37¢ → 62¢ | $51 | +$21 +67% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 54 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $50 | +$2 +5.1% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 52 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 23h | Yes | 53 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $50 | +$3 +6.3% |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 56 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $49 | −$1 −2.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 100d | Yes | 190 | 31¢ → 25¢ | $47 | −$13 −21% |
| Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 48 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $45 | +$2 +3.8% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 50 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $45 | +$4 +9.1% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 11d | Yes | 60 | 73¢ → 72¢ | $43 | −$1 −1.4% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $43 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 58 | 74¢ → 74¢ | $42 | −$1 −1.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 49 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $42 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 42 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $42 | +$1 +2.4% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 44 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $41 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 79 | 36¢ → 52¢ | $41 | +$13 +44% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 47 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $40 | −$1 −2.2% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 67 | 70¢ → 57¢ | $38 | −$8 −18% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $38 | $0 0.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | No | 86 | 33¢ → 44¢ | $38 | +$9 +33% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?Ends in 525d | No | 40 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $37 | −$0 −0.7% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 40 | 77¢ → 92¢ | $37 | +$6 +19% |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 39 | 98¢ → 93¢ | $36 | −$2 −5.1% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 9,006 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $36 | −$18 −33% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 45 | 29¢ → 80¢ | $35 | +$22 +171% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 40 | 57¢ → 89¢ | $35 | +$12 +54% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 36 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $35 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Ends in 128d | No | 50 | 80¢ → 71¢ | $35 | −$5 −11% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 35 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $34 | +$3 +8.5% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 38 | 82¢ → 92¢ | $34 | +$4 +12% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 56 | 66¢ → 61¢ | $34 | −$3 −8.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 46 | 75¢ → 73¢ | $33 | −$1 −2.7% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 33 | 75¢ → 99¢ | $33 | +$8 +31% |
| Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 37 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $32 | +$3 +11% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 15%-20%?Ends in 11d | No | 40 | 72¢ → 78¢ | $32 | +$2 +8.3% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 32 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $31 | +$1 +4.9% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 40 | 69¢ → 77¢ | $31 | +$3 +10% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 88 | 37¢ → 35¢ | $31 | −$2 −4.9% |
| Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2028?Ends in 434d | No | 32 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $30 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1165d | No | 41 | 76¢ → 72¢ | $29 | −$2 −5.3% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 72d | No | 31 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $28 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 29 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $28 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 97 | 28¢ → 28¢ | $28 | +$0 +1.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 47 | 61¢ → 57¢ | $27 | −$2 −6.4% |
| Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 28 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $27 | +$5 +22% |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 27 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $26 | +$1 +5.0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 947 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $26 | −$0 −0.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 40 | 54¢ → 64¢ | $26 | +$4 +19% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 30 | 32¢ → 83¢ | $25 | +$15 +158% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 434d | Yes | 70 | 27¢ → 35¢ | $24 | +$5 +28% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 65¢ → 78¢ | $23 | +$4 +20% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 37 | 77¢ → 60¢ | $22 | −$6 −23% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | No | 40 | 40¢ → 55¢ | $22 | +$6 +36% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 522 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $21 | +$1 +6.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 99 | 14¢ → 21¢ | $20 | +$6 +46% |
| Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Ends ended | Yes | 45 | 43¢ → 45¢ | $20 | +$1 +4.7% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.5% |
