PMPAndrew

Polymarket wallet 0x1bbe9ef12609719ec059a8815864df7153131559 · on Polymarket since Aug 7, 2025 · also shown as Double-Daffodil

Open on Polymarket ↗@PMP_Andrew ↗

1/3 of the Poly Marks Podcast. https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/poly-marks/id1832191373

Positions now worth: $2.56K
All-time profit: +$1.79K
Volume traded: $706K
All-time rank: #56,929
Markets traded: 536
Recent hit rate: 18%9 of last 50 closed

Open positions

29 markets · $2.56K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d	No	1,193	25¢ → 25¢	$298	−$2 −0.6%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d	Yes	733	41¢ → 34¢	$249	−$51 −17%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d	No	271	34¢ → 89¢	$239	+$148 +162%
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 51m	Yes	250	80¢ → 92¢	$230	+$30 +15%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d	No	407	49¢ → 54¢	$218	+$18 +8.8%
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Ends in 69d	Yes	550	31¢ → 38¢	$206	+$36 +21%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d	No	1,111	18¢ → 17¢	$183	−$17 −8.3%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d	Yes	559	30¢ → 28¢	$159	−$11 −6.3%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Ends in 16d	No	263	38¢ → 42¢	$111	+$11 +11%
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 69d	Yes	1,494	19¢ → 7¢	$106	−$177 −63%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	1,022	10¢ → 10¢	$98	−$2 −2.4%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 1d	No	1,111	9¢ → 8¢	$83	−$17 −17%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 69d	No	93	81¢ → 87¢	$80	+$5 +6.8%
Raptors vs. WizardsEnds ended	Raptors	93	75¢ → 74¢	$69	−$1 −2.0%
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?Ends in 8d	Yes	994	5¢ → 6¢	$56	+$6 +12%
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Ends ended	Raptors	98	51¢ → 51¢	$50	−$0 −1.0%
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	57	43¢ → 60¢	$35	+$10 +39%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	714	3¢ → 3¢	$24	+$4 +20%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1,453	2¢ → 2¢	$23	−$7 −25%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended	No	583	9¢ → 2¢	$11	−$39 −78%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	481	1¢ → 2¢	$9	+$2 +32%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	150	51¢ → 5¢	$7	−$69 −90%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	150	39¢ → 3¢	$5	−$54 −92%
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	2,873	1¢ → <1¢	$4	−$33 −88%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d	Yes	52	56¢ → 7¢	$3	−$26 −88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	714	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	83	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	261	29¢ → 0¢	$0	−$75 −100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	683	29¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
21m	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	BuyNo9¢	$100
22m	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	SellNo88¢	$93
47m	Spread: Raptors (-8.5)	BuyRaptors51¢	$50
48m	Raptors vs. Wizards	BuyRaptors75¢	$70
2d	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	BuyNo18¢	$200
2d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	SellNo88¢	$318
2d	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	BuyNo33¢	$100
2d	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	BuyYes27¢	$104
2d	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	SellNo20¢	$117
2d	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	BuyNo9¢	$100
2d	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	BuyNo23¢	$100
2d	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	BuyNo47¢	$100
2d	Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?	BuyYes5¢	$40
2d	Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	BuyYes39¢	$100
2d	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	BuyYes32¢	$103
2d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	SellNo88¢	$623
5d	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	BuyYes31¢	$72
5d	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Buy39¢	$50
6d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	BuyUp7¢	$27
6d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	BuyUp7¢	$27
7d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	BuyUp26¢	$26
7d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	BuyUp38¢	$26
7d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	BuyUp25¢	$26
7d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	BuyUp94¢	$100
7d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	BuyDown48¢	$26
7d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	BuyDown30¢	$26
7d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	SellNo88¢	$424
7d	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	BuyNo81¢	$75
8d	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BuyYes10¢	$104
8d	Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	BuyYes24¢	$52
8d	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	BuyYes42¢	$205
8d	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	BuyNo38¢	$100
8d	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	BuyNo51¢	$100
8d	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	BuyNo22¢	$100
8d	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	BuyYes80¢	$202
8d	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	BuyYes30¢	$103
8d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	SellNo88¢	$1,039
9d	Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	BuyYes23¢	$21
9d	Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?	BuyYes4¢	$10
16d	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	SellYes33¢	$31
63d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	SellNo69¢	$1,826
63d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	SellNo70¢	$696
63d	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	SellNo92¢	$156
63d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	SellNo94¢	$920
72d	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	SellYes7¢	$16
73d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	SellNo96¢	$1,455
76d	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SellYes7¢	$11
79d	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	SellYes6¢	$37
79d	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	SellNo8¢	$45
79d	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	SellYes14¢	$101
93d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	SellNo99¢	$7,721
100d	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SellYes2¢	$9
101d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	SellNo97¢	$77
104d	Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5	BuyUnder60¢	$143
104d	Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5	SellOver44¢	$143
104d	Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5	BuyOver56¢	$194
104d	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	BuyYes22¢	$52
104d	Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND Erling Haaland: 1+ goals AND Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Buy4¢	$10
105d	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	BuyYes59¢	$157
105d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	SellNo95¢	$153

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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