| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | Yes | 222,222 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $5,222 | +$1,761 +51% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 2,000 | 21¢ → 71¢ | $1,419 | +$992 +233% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 5,000 | 32¢ → 26¢ | $1,322 | −$273 −17% |
| Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?Ends in 15d | No | 1,005 | 51¢ → 91¢ | $913 | +$400 +78% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,446 | 37¢ → 63¢ | $904 | +$371 +70% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Ends in 439d | Yes | 1,457 | 48¢ → 62¢ | $898 | +$198 +28% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,500 | 52¢ → 57¢ | $862 | +$83 +11% |
| Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 1,086 | 23¢ → 77¢ | $833 | +$578 +227% |
| Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 1,013 | 43¢ → 82¢ | $825 | +$389 +89% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 925 | 56¢ → 83¢ | $769 | +$247 +47% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 1,859 | 38¢ → 40¢ | $734 | +$36 +5.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,018 | 67¢ → 72¢ | $733 | +$51 +7.5% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 751d | Yes | 100,000 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $650 | +$250 +63% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 700 | 40¢ → 93¢ | $648 | +$368 +131% |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,148 | 62¢ → 54¢ | $620 | −$95 −13% |
| Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 620 | 58¢ → 96¢ | $592 | +$234 +66% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 877 | 57¢ → 59¢ | $513 | +$13 +2.6% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 719 | 71¢ → 70¢ | $503 | −$6 −1.3% |
| Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 723 | 41¢ → 70¢ | $503 | +$205 +69% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,467 | 48¢ → 33¢ | $490 | −$209 −30% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 4d | No | 538 | 81¢ → 88¢ | $474 | +$35 +8.1% |
| Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 550 | 66¢ → 85¢ | $468 | +$102 +28% |
| Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 634 | 39¢ → 70¢ | $444 | +$195 +78% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?Ends ended | Yes | 425 | 47¢ → 98¢ | $416 | +$215 +107% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,166 | 19¢ → 33¢ | $379 | +$158 +71% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 604 | 17¢ → 62¢ | $371 | +$271 +271% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Ends ended | No | 375 | 70¢ → 77¢ | $289 | +$27 +10% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 880 | 29¢ → 32¢ | $277 | +$21 +8.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,328 | 13¢ → 12¢ | $268 | −$32 −11% |
| Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Ends in 15d | No | 340 | 82¢ → 78¢ | $263 | −$16 −5.8% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 9d | No | 368 | 50¢ → 68¢ | $248 | +$64 +35% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 257 | 76¢ → 96¢ | $246 | +$50 +25% |
| Rogers flips El-Sayed for Michigan Senate by November 2?Ends in 15d | No | 272 | 76¢ → 90¢ | $245 | +$38 +18% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 340 | 74¢ → 70¢ | $238 | −$12 −4.8% |
| Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 94d | No | 410 | 56¢ → 56¢ | $232 | +$2 +0.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 236 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $224 | +$24 +12% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 16d | Yes | 465 | 43¢ → 45¢ | $209 | +$9 +4.7% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 294 | 34¢ → 71¢ | $209 | +$109 +109% |
| Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 613 | 31¢ → 34¢ | $205 | +$13 +6.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 272 | 54¢ → 73¢ | $197 | +$50 +34% |
| Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | Yes | 319 | 63¢ → 54¢ | $172 | −$29 −14% |
| Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 200 | 69¢ → 86¢ | $171 | +$33 +24% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Ends ended | No | 209 | 72¢ → 80¢ | $168 | +$18 +12% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 78d | No | 177 | 79¢ → 86¢ | $152 | +$12 +8.4% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 74d | No | 200 | 54¢ → 75¢ | $149 | +$41 +38% |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 173 | 75¢ → 86¢ | $148 | +$18 +14% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 41d | No | 204 | 73¢ → 60¢ | $122 | −$28 −19% |
| Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2?Ends in 15d | No | 130 | 74¢ → 93¢ | $121 | +$25 +26% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 833 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $121 | −$4 −3.3% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?Ends in 438d | Yes | 424 | 26¢ → 23¢ | $97 | −$11 −9.9% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 154 | 59¢ → 62¢ | $95 | +$4 +4.2% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 16d | Yes | 274 | 30¢ → 32¢ | $86 | +$4 +5.0% |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 255d | Yes | 312 | 52¢ → 28¢ | $86 | −$77 −47% |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 73d | Yes | 278 | 18¢ → 28¢ | $78 | +$28 +56% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 80 | 70¢ → 96¢ | $76 | +$20 +36% |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 16d | Yes | 327 | 21¢ → 22¢ | $70 | +$2 +2.4% |
| Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 80% by November 2?Ends in 15d | No | 81 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $67 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | No | 62 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $61 | +$5 +9.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 232 | 19¢ → 25¢ | $57 | +$13 +29% |
| Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?Ends in 42d | No | 64 | 95¢ → 76¢ | $49 | −$12 −20% |
| Paris curfew by October 24?Ends in 6d | Yes | 187 | 10¢ → 24¢ | $44 | +$25 +135% |
| Will Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?Ends in 6d | Yes | 50 | 73¢ → 88¢ | $44 | +$7 +20% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | Yes | 2,314 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $38 | −$110 −74% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 16d | Yes | 41 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $35 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?Ends in 15d | No | 40 | 59¢ → 86¢ | $34 | +$11 +45% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,071 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $31 | −$44 −59% |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 30 | 79¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$6 +24% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 519 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $29 | −$3 −8.3% |
| Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,040 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $22 | −$37 −63% |
| Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 75% by November 2?Ends in 15d | No | 23 | 78¢ → 80¢ | $18 | +$0 +1.9% |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 60 | 43¢ → 30¢ | $18 | −$8 −30% |
| Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by January 31, 2027?Ends in 105d | Yes | 20 | 65¢ → 86¢ | $17 | +$4 +32% |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 481 | 21¢ → 3¢ | $15 | −$86 −85% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?Ends in 439d | Yes | 1,008 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $13 | −$7 −36% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 28 | 33¢ → 35¢ | $10 | +$0 +4.5% |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 253 | 8¢ → 4¢ | $9 | −$11 −56% |
| Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2?Ends in 15d | No | 10 | 61¢ → 90¢ | $9 | +$3 +47% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 200 | 25¢ → 3¢ | $6 | −$44 −88% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Ends in 16d | Yes | 20 | 18¢ → 27¢ | $5 | +$2 +47% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 20 | 24¢ → 27¢ | $5 | +$1 +10% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 30 | 61¢ → 16¢ | $5 | −$14 −74% |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 265 | 12¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$28 −89% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 199 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $3 | −$4 −53% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 100 | 60¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$58 −96% |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 33 | 16¢ → 7¢ | $2 | −$3 −56% |
