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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 4¢ (2¢) | $86.1 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | DiaMat | December 31 | SellNo96¢ → 97¢ | $1,458 | −$24 −1.6% | — |
| 19d | DiaMat | December 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $2,091 | −$14 −0.7% | 11 |
| 115d | FlyingPlaty | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,163 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
Nadmi1,563 shares
LornaPredicts749 shares
Dr.PNL259 shares
beansontoasts200 shares
knrad2,107 shares
GenaCyberpunk494 shares
vinii455 shares
Milin-dc174 shares
Maikel.Nait128 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 3%.