| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 7,500 | 61¢ → 84¢ | $6,263 | +$1,686 +37% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 5,000 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $4,275 | +$168 +4.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 5,000 | 60¢ → 78¢ | $3,878 | +$879 +29% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 12d | Yes | 5,000 | 31¢ → 68¢ | $3,375 | +$1,824 +118% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 3,000 | 65¢ → 87¢ | $2,595 | +$637 +33% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?Ends in 435d | No | 3,263 | 77¢ → 76¢ | $2,463 | −$43 −1.7% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 3,000 | 76¢ → 78¢ | $2,325 | +$55 +2.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 3,000 | 5¢ → 67¢ | $1,995 | +$1,833 +1128% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 12d | Yes | 2,000 | 50¢ → 93¢ | $1,850 | +$850 +85% |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 1,598 | 67¢ → 90¢ | $1,430 | +$354 +33% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 39d | No | 1,500 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $1,418 | −$8 −0.5% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 2,500 | 50¢ → 52¢ | $1,304 | +$47 +3.8% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 1,500 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $1,268 | −$39 −3.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 2,000 | 61¢ → 63¢ | $1,260 | +$40 +3.3% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 1,250 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $1,131 | +$29 +2.6% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,500 | 71¢ → 74¢ | $1,103 | +$38 +3.5% |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 1,300 | 73¢ → 79¢ | $1,027 | +$77 +8.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 1,000 | 91¢ → >99¢ | $997 | +$87 +9.5% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 1,350 | 69¢ → 73¢ | $986 | +$48 +5.1% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 4d | No | 1,000 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $985 | +$37 +4.0% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,001 | 42¢ → 98¢ | $977 | +$555 +132% |
| Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Ends ended | Yes | 1,000 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $965 | +$31 +3.3% |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 1,000 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $959 | +$139 +17% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 1,000 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $955 | +$38 +4.2% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 1,000 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $950 | +$30 +3.3% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 4d | No | 1,000 | 96¢ → 94¢ | $937 | −$22 −2.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 1,000 | 71¢ → 94¢ | $935 | +$225 +32% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 3d | No | 1,000 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $931 | +$19 +2.1% |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,255 | 45¢ → 72¢ | $904 | +$343 +61% |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Ends in 435d | Yes | 1,000 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $895 | +$42 +5.0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 1,000 | 63¢ → 88¢ | $875 | +$249 +40% |
| Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Ends in 235d | Yes | 1,000 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $875 | +$15 +1.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,000 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $865 | −$5 −0.6% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 1,000 | 70¢ → 84¢ | $840 | +$140 +20% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 1,000 | 78¢ → 80¢ | $795 | +$17 +2.2% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,250 | 52¢ → 62¢ | $769 | +$119 +18% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 4d | Yes | 1,000 | 26¢ → 76¢ | $765 | +$502 +191% |
| Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?Ends in 12d | No | 1,000 | 70¢ → 75¢ | $745 | +$46 +6.5% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 1,000 | 64¢ → 75¢ | $745 | +$107 +17% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 1,000 | 61¢ → 74¢ | $735 | +$129 +21% |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 751 | 80¢ → 98¢ | $733 | +$135 +23% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?Ends in 28d | No | 750 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $725 | +$51 +7.6% |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 750 | 73¢ → 96¢ | $716 | +$169 +31% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | Yes | 1,000 | 65¢ → 72¢ | $715 | +$68 +10% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,000 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $715 | +$5 +0.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,000 | 75¢ → 71¢ | $714 | −$35 −4.6% |
| Greenland snap election called by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 750 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $711 | +$44 +6.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 1,460 | 42¢ → 48¢ | $701 | +$82 +13% |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 750 | 75¢ → 93¢ | $694 | +$133 +24% |
| Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 756 | 80¢ → 89¢ | $673 | +$67 +11% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 2,000 | 30¢ → 34¢ | $670 | +$65 +11% |
| Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?Ends in 235d | Yes | 1,000 | 58¢ → 67¢ | $665 | +$80 +14% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 750 | 77¢ → 88¢ | $656 | +$79 +14% |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?Ends in 160d | Yes | 1,000 | 55¢ → 65¢ | $650 | +$101 +18% |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | No | 1,000 | 73¢ → 65¢ | $650 | −$85 −12% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,100 | 65¢ → 59¢ | $649 | −$70 −9.7% |
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Ends in 1166d | Yes | 1,000 | 50¢ → 64¢ | $640 | +$136 +27% |
| Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 251d | Yes | 750 | 80¢ → 84¢ | $626 | +$23 +3.7% |
| Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 38d | Yes | 750 | 83¢ → 76¢ | $566 | −$56 −9.1% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 700 | 79¢ → 81¢ | $564 | +$10 +1.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 740 | 72¢ → 74¢ | $544 | +$11 +2.1% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 600 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $537 | +$47 +9.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 750 | 10¢ → 71¢ | $533 | +$457 +604% |
| ECB rate cut in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 541 | 46¢ → 95¢ | $514 | +$264 +106% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Ends in 129d | No | 567 | 43¢ → 88¢ | $496 | +$251 +103% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 5d | Yes | 1,000 | 46¢ → 49¢ | $493 | +$37 +8.0% |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 70d | Yes | 500 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $489 | +$57 +13% |
| Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,127 | 60¢ → 43¢ | $485 | −$187 −28% |
| Will Markus Söder be the next Chancellor of Germany?Ends in 1166d | No | 504 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $483 | +$73 +18% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 500 | 75¢ → 97¢ | $483 | +$106 +28% |
| Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 4d | Yes | 500 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $480 | +$48 +11% |
| Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 251d | Yes | 921 | 52¢ → 52¢ | $479 | +$3 +0.6% |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 495 | 74¢ → 95¢ | $471 | +$105 +29% |
| Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 500 | 79¢ → 94¢ | $469 | +$74 +19% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 178d | Yes | 1,000 | 37¢ → 46¢ | $463 | +$91 +24% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 500 | 81¢ → 92¢ | $458 | +$55 +14% |
| Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 70d | No | 500 | 72¢ → 91¢ | $453 | +$94 +26% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 70d | No | 500 | 78¢ → 90¢ | $451 | +$60 +15% |
| Modi out by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | No | 500 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $448 | +$39 +9.7% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | No | 750 | 51¢ → 57¢ | $428 | +$42 +11% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,000 | 43¢ → 43¢ | $425 | −$5 −1.2% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | No | 750 | 58¢ → 56¢ | $422 | −$12 −2.8% |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | Yes | 500 | 90¢ → 84¢ | $420 | −$30 −6.7% |
| Will more than 550,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 400 | 80¢ → 99¢ | $397 | +$78 +24% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 404 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $390 | +$62 +19% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,000 | 29¢ → 39¢ | $385 | +$95 +33% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 500 | 16¢ → 76¢ | $381 | +$301 +376% |
| Denmark snap election called by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 383 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $377 | +$32 +9.3% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 24d | No | 400 | 75¢ → 93¢ | $372 | +$70 +23% |
| Will Tommy Paul Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankingsEnds ended | No | 400 | 69¢ → 93¢ | $372 | +$94 +34% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 1,250 | 35¢ → 30¢ | $369 | −$70 −16% |
| Will Jakub Mensik Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankingsEnds ended | No | 400 | 65¢ → 91¢ | $364 | +$105 +40% |
| Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 600 | 62¢ → 60¢ | $357 | −$15 −4.1% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?Ends in 435d | No | 500 | 69¢ → 70¢ | $352 | +$7 +2.0% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 3d | No | 500 | 73¢ → 70¢ | $350 | −$15 −4.1% |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 84d | No | 505 | 81¢ → 68¢ | $343 | −$68 −17% |
| Will Islam Makhachev retire from the UFC by the end of 2027?Ends in 435d | No | 400 | 76¢ → 86¢ | $342 | +$39 +13% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 500 | 66¢ → 68¢ | $340 | +$10 +3.0% |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 500 | 71¢ → 67¢ | $335 | −$18 −5.0% |
| Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 500 | 71¢ → 67¢ | $333 | −$24 −6.7% |
