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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil < $80; R Senate | 1% | 0 pts | −3 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $338 | in 11d |
| Oil ≥ $80; R Senate | 32% | 0 pts | +2 pts | 30¢ · 33¢ (3¢) | $6.39 | in 11d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | C03B2 fills | Oil < $80; R Senate | BuyNo95¢ → 99¢ | $11,278 | +$420 +3.7% | 13 |
| 1d | Oil < $80; R Senate | BuyNo98¢ → 99¢ | $1,128 | +$13 +1.2% | 11 | |
| 7d | Oil < $80; R Senate | BuyNo95¢ → 99¢ | $1,752 | +$70 +4.0% | 13 |
See market rules.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 1¢ for Oil < $80; R Senate means the market gives it about 1%.