| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?Ends in 13d | No | 84 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $83 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 16d | Yes | 83 | 63¢ → 65¢ | $55 | +$2 +3.6% |
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?Ends in 17h | Yes | 55 | 79¢ → 99¢ | $54 | +$11 +26% |
| Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 16d | No | 49 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $47 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?Ends ended | No | 45 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $45 | +$1 +3.2% |
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 153 | 26¢ → 27¢ | $41 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?Ends in 13d | No | 40 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$1 +1.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 42 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $35 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 16d | Yes | 83 | 32¢ → 32¢ | $27 | −$1 −2.0% |
| Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Ends ended | Yes | 30 | 68¢ → 87¢ | $26 | +$6 +27% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 45m?Ends ended | No | 25 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $25 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?Ends ended | No | 22 | 85¢ → >99¢ | $22 | +$3 +17% |
| Plague case in US by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 271 | 15¢ → 8¢ | $20 | −$20 −49% |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?Ends in 13d | Yes | 50 | 45¢ → 40¢ | $20 | −$3 −12% |
| Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 26 | 63¢ → 72¢ | $19 | +$2 +14% |
| Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 32 | 3¢ → 57¢ | $18 | +$18 +1950% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 19?Ends ended | No | 18 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $18 | +$1 +4.1% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 48d | Yes | 19 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $18 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 26 | 6¢ → 71¢ | $18 | +$16 +1009% |
| Next Gemini Argon released by January 31, 2027?Ends in 105d | No | 20 | 51¢ → 87¢ | $17 | +$7 +70% |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 255d | No | 35 | 52¢ → 43¢ | $15 | −$3 −17% |
| Will the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" during the Cowboys vs Packers game?Ends ended | No | 22 | 29¢ → 67¢ | $15 | +$8 +129% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 255d | Yes | 29 | 55¢ → 48¢ | $14 | −$2 −14% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 16 | 61¢ → 83¢ | $14 | +$4 +36% |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Ends in 4d | Yes | 38 | 35¢ → 35¢ | $13 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?Ends in 13d | No | 14 | 75¢ → 95¢ | $13 | +$3 +27% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 17 | 54¢ → 76¢ | $13 | +$4 +39% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 16 | 70¢ → 74¢ | $12 | +$1 +6.1% |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $303,000 and $308,000 on December 31?Ends in 84d | No | 13 | 79¢ → 95¢ | $12 | +$2 +20% |
| Base iPhone 18 released by April 30, 2027?Ends in 194d | Yes | 13 | 77¢ → 92¢ | $12 | +$2 +19% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?Ends ended | No | 11 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $11 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 11 | 58¢ → 97¢ | $11 | +$5 +69% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?Ends in 16d | Yes | 35 | 29¢ → 31¢ | $11 | +$1 +5.2% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | Yes | 92 | 38¢ → 12¢ | $11 | −$25 −70% |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 12 | 80¢ → 84¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 12 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 146d | No | 20 | 65¢ → 50¢ | $10 | −$3 −22% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be 400,000 or more?Ends in 16d | No | 11 | 90¢ → 87¢ | $10 | −$0 −2.8% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 11 | 91¢ → 90¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii by November 30, 2026?Ends in 50d | No | 11 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.1% |
| APYX FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 439d | No | 26 | 11¢ → 37¢ | $10 | +$7 +236% |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 10 | 70¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$2 +35% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 11 | 92¢ → 87¢ | $9 | −$1 −5.6% |
| Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?Ends in 164d | No | 15 | 65¢ → 63¢ | $9 | −$0 −3.4% |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | No | 15 | 62¢ → 62¢ | $9 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 21 | 42¢ → 43¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 24 | 4¢ → 37¢ | $9 | +$8 +834% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 12 | 58¢ → 77¢ | $9 | +$2 +32% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.00% before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 9 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?Ends in 13d | No | 9 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $9 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 10 | 81¢ → 87¢ | $9 | +$1 +8.1% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?Ends in 73d | No | 9 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 11 | 55¢ → 77¢ | $9 | +$3 +41% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?Ends in 13d | No | 9 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $8 | +$0 +3.9% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 38 | 26¢ → 23¢ | $8 | −$1 −13% |
| Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $48B?Ends in 65d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 86¢ | $8 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 10 | 61¢ → 80¢ | $8 | +$2 +30% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 14 | 55¢ → 54¢ | $8 | −$0 −2.0% |
| Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 81d | No | 8 | 76¢ → 95¢ | $8 | +$2 +25% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Ends in 13d | No | 9 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $8 | −$0 −3.3% |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 20 | 19¢ → 37¢ | $7 | +$4 +97% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be less than 550,000?Ends in 16d | No | 7 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $7 | +$0 +4.3% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | No | 10 | 67¢ → 72¢ | $7 | +$1 +8.3% |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 10 | 66¢ → 72¢ | $7 | +$1 +9.2% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 58d | Yes | 9 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $7 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 12 | 58¢ → 60¢ | $7 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 8 | 82¢ → 85¢ | $7 | +$0 +3.7% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d | Yes | 13 | 77¢ → 51¢ | $7 | −$3 −34% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 52 | 11¢ → 13¢ | $7 | +$1 +9.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 7 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $7 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 19?Ends ended | Yes | 7 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $6 | +$1 +16% |
| Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 164d | Yes | 8 | 24¢ → 77¢ | $6 | +$4 +224% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 6d | Yes | 9 | 68¢ → 66¢ | $6 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 19?Ends ended | No | 6 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $6 | +$0 +4.1% |
| Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 43d | No | 10 | 73¢ → 60¢ | $6 | −$1 −18% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 500,000 and 550,000?Ends in 16d | No | 6 | 96¢ → 94¢ | $6 | −$0 −2.5% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | No | 8 | 48¢ → 71¢ | $6 | +$2 +46% |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 10 | 57¢ → 59¢ | $6 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | 57¢ → 79¢ | $6 | +$2 +38% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 105d | No | 7 | 73¢ → 82¢ | $6 | +$1 +12% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 12d | No | 6 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $6 | +$1 +14% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 10 | 60¢ → 58¢ | $6 | −$0 −3.6% |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Ends in 164d | Yes | 7 | 75¢ → 77¢ | $6 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will Meta (META) Q3 capital expenditures (including principal payments on finance leases) be above $35B?Ends in 2d | Yes | 6 | 74¢ → 91¢ | $6 | +$1 +22% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?Ends ended | Yes | 6 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?Ends ended | No | 5 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.2% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 21 | 19¢ → 26¢ | $5 | +$1 +34% |
| Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 42d | Yes | 10 | 81¢ → 53¢ | $5 | −$3 −35% |
| Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?Ends in 279d | Yes | 25 | 32¢ → 22¢ | $5 | −$3 −32% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d | No | 15 | 55¢ → 35¢ | $5 | −$3 −37% |
| Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 6 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 58¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$2 +72% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 9 | 52¢ → 58¢ | $5 | +$1 +12% |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 19?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 40¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$3 +136% |
| Printr FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 439d | No | 6 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 74d | No | 6 | 70¢ → 83¢ | $5 | +$1 +19% |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 9 | 45¢ → 56¢ | $5 | +$1 +24% |
| Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 China revenue mix <22%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 16 | 21¢ → 32¢ | $5 | +$2 +54% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 6d | Yes | 7 | 69¢ → 68¢ | $5 | −$0 −2.2% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 225 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $5 | +$3 +175% |
