| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Ends in 69d | No | 4,553 | 78¢ → 84¢ | $3,825 | +$291 +8.2% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,751 | 57¢ → 77¢ | $1,342 | +$341 +34% |
| Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 859 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $802 | +$59 +8.0% |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 601 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $581 | +$30 +5.5% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?Ends in 100d | Yes | 5,551 | 20¢ → 8¢ | $422 | −$707 −63% |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 334 | 80¢ → 91¢ | $302 | +$36 +14% |
| Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?Ends in 69d | No | 352 | 76¢ → 83¢ | $292 | +$23 +8.6% |
| Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?Ends in 69d | No | 263 | 78¢ → 92¢ | $241 | +$36 +17% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,460 | 22¢ → 15¢ | $215 | −$99 −31% |
| Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?Ends in 69d | Yes | 218 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $213 | +$27 +14% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 200 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $191 | +$15 +8.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $189 | +$11 +6.2% |
| Will Franco Colapinto win the 2026 Action of the Year?Ends in 69d | No | 150 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $145 | +$1 +0.9% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 806 | 29¢ → 13¢ | $105 | −$126 −55% |
| Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 151 | 38¢ → 66¢ | $99 | +$42 +74% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-06 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$3 +2.8% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | No | 117 | 9¢ → 81¢ | $95 | +$84 +820% |
| Will "The Romantic - Bruno Mars" be the top album for 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 94 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $91 | +$7 +8.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 100 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $86 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 21¢ → 35¢ | $70 | +$28 +67% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 299 | 28¢ → 23¢ | $67 | −$17 −21% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 145 | 27¢ → 44¢ | $64 | +$25 +63% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 314 | 33¢ → 20¢ | $61 | −$41 −40% |
| Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 64 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $59 | +$5 +9.5% |
| Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?Ends in 19d | No | 58 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $58 | +$4 +7.9% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 67 | 55¢ → 81¢ | $54 | +$17 +46% |
| Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?Ends in 69d | No | 49 | 77¢ → 100¢ | $49 | +$11 +29% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 148 | 34¢ → 31¢ | $45 | −$5 −10% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 66 | 72¢ → 65¢ | $43 | −$5 −9.7% |
| Will Zack Gelof win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?Ends in 69d | No | 43 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $42 | +$3 +7.1% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | Yes | 52 | 25¢ → 80¢ | $41 | +$28 +220% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 102 | 46¢ → 40¢ | $41 | −$6 −13% |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 100 | 45¢ → 40¢ | $40 | −$5 −12% |
| Will Clayton McCullough win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?Ends in 56d | No | 37 | 91¢ → >99¢ | $37 | +$3 +9.4% |
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 73 | 67¢ → 46¢ | $34 | −$15 −30% |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 312 | 19¢ → 11¢ | $33 | −$27 −45% |
| Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 97 | 31¢ → 34¢ | $33 | +$2 +7.5% |
| Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?Ends in 69d | No | 36 | 91¢ → 86¢ | $31 | −$2 −5.8% |
| US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 26 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $25 | +$4 +18% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 66 | 24¢ → 35¢ | $23 | +$7 +47% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?Ends in 69d | No | 30 | 71¢ → 78¢ | $23 | +$2 +8.7% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | Yes | 116 | 80¢ → 19¢ | $22 | −$70 −76% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 24 | 62¢ → 85¢ | $20 | +$5 +36% |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 53¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$9 +90% |
| Will Daniel Suarez win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?Ends in 15d | No | 20 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$1 +4.6% |
| Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 21 | 82¢ → 91¢ | $19 | +$2 +11% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 27 | 69¢ → 69¢ | $19 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 12¢ → 86¢ | $17 | +$15 +613% |
| Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 21 | 36¢ → 80¢ | $17 | +$9 +119% |
| Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 20 | 51¢ → 80¢ | $16 | +$6 +56% |
| Will Monterrey win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $13 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 30¢ → 67¢ | $13 | +$7 +122% |
| Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 15 | 63¢ → 89¢ | $13 | +$4 +41% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 16 | 62¢ → 68¢ | $11 | +$1 +9.7% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | No | 52 | 51¢ → 20¢ | $11 | −$16 −60% |
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 12 | 64¢ → 87¢ | $10 | +$3 +35% |
| Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 11 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 200 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $10 | −$4 −29% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$1 +9.9% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 66¢ → 87¢ | $9 | +$2 +32% |
| Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 86¢ | $9 | +$1 +13% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 22 | 53¢ → 37¢ | $8 | −$3 −30% |
| Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 207 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $8 | −$5 −37% |
| Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 10 | 62¢ → 77¢ | $8 | +$1 +23% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 79 | 3¢ → 9¢ | $7 | +$5 +201% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 41 | 18¢ → 16¢ | $6 | −$1 −9.1% |
| Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 9 | 36¢ → 67¢ | $6 | +$3 +84% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 7 | 86¢ → 82¢ | $6 | −$0 −4.9% |
| Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 96 | 14¢ → 6¢ | $5 | −$8 −60% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 16 | 38¢ → 32¢ | $5 | −$1 −15% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 66¢ → 73¢ | $5 | +$0 +11% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 67¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$1 +40% |
| Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 6 | 68¢ → 78¢ | $5 | +$1 +14% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 7 | 65¢ → 65¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 36¢ → 21¢ | $4 | −$3 −42% |
| Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 13¢ → 21¢ | $4 | +$1 +58% |
| Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 20 | 28¢ → 20¢ | $4 | −$2 −29% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 24 | 24¢ → 16¢ | $4 | −$2 −35% |
| Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 133 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $4 | −$4 −53% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 71¢ → 87¢ | $3 | +$1 +22% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 61¢ → 14¢ | $3 | −$9 −76% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 3 | 79¢ → 88¢ | $3 | +$0 +12% |
| Will Kyle Larson win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?Ends in 15d | Yes | 9 | 21¢ → 32¢ | $3 | +$1 +51% |
| Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?Ends in 12d | No | 10 | 25¢ → 24¢ | $2 | −$0 −5.5% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7 | 29¢ → 27¢ | $2 | −$0 −6.9% |
| Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 15¢ → 9¢ | $2 | −$1 −41% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 31 | 11¢ → 6¢ | $2 | −$2 −46% |
| Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 14 | 19¢ → 11¢ | $2 | −$1 −42% |
| Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 10 | 26¢ → 14¢ | $1 | −$1 −45% |
| Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 6 | 40¢ → 23¢ | $1 | −$1 −44% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 129d | Yes | 1 | 76¢ → 83¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.9% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 66¢ → 91¢ | $1 | +$0 +36% |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 23 | 11¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$2 −64% |
| Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1 | 25¢ → 33¢ | $0 | +$0 +32% |
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 3 | 37¢ → 14¢ | $0 | −$1 −64% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 12¢ → 18¢ | $0 | +$0 +42% |
| Will Tyler Reddick win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?Ends in 15d | Yes | 12 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −78% |
| Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1 | 15¢ → 16¢ | $0 | +$0 +9.4% |
| Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 18¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$4 −97% |
| Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Ends in 69d | Yes | 34 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −96% |
