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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SZA | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Olivia Rodrigo | 0% | 0 pts | +25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Drake | 100% | +12 pts | +24 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Charli XCX | 100% | +41 pts | +46 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lil Uzi Vert | 100% | 0 pts | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| BTS | 0% | +22 pts | +10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Beyoncé | 0% | −10 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| JAY-Z | 0% | −1 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Frank Ocean | 0% | +17 pts | +26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nicki Minaj | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kendrick Lamar | 0% | −20 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kanye West | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| A$AP Rocky | 0% | −5 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lana Del Rey | 0% | −2 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 294d | Kevindoto2 fills | SZA | SellYes>99¢ | $19,980 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 295d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | SZA | SellYes>99¢ | $48,118 | −$48 −0.1% | — |
| 295d | pantomime | SZA | SellYes>99¢ | $6,843 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 295d |  0xdc3E831cad | SZA | SellYes>99¢ | $1,574 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 295d |  OraculumNobius | Olivia Rodrigo | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,494 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d | lontou | SZA | SellYes>99¢ | $3,385 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 295d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Olivia Rodrigo | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,233 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d |  JesusReturns2026 | SZA | BuyYes>99¢ | $27,247 | +$27 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d | OmahasOracle | SZA | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d | ThereIsNoSpoon | SZA | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,005 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d | sagishi | SZA | SellYes>99¢ | $5,100 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 295d | sagishi | SZA | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,105 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d | professorx | SZA | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,001 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d | EnzoFabi | Kanye West | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,626 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d |  Debosnys | JAY-Z | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,693 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d | Debosnys | Nicki Minaj | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,694 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d | Debosnys | Beyoncé | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,595 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d | Debosnys | Kendrick Lamar | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,735 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d | Debosnys | Olivia Rodrigo | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,626 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d | Debosnys | BTS | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,095 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d | Debosnys | Frank Ocean | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,824 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 296d | aviato | SZA | SellYes>99¢ | $4,694 | −$14 −0.3% | — |
| 296d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | SZA | SellYes>99¢ | $15,751 | −$47 −0.3% | — |
| 296d |  aaa6 | SZA | SellYes>99¢ | $21,634 | −$65 −0.3% | — |
| 296d |  Tenebrus7 | SZA | SellYes>99¢ | $2,991 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 296d |  NeoSay10 | SZA | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,360 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 296d |  ULYSSES18 | SZA | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,232 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 296d |  JewedGambler | SZA | SellYes>99¢ | $1,943 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 296d | dwpoker | SZA | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,380 | +$33 +0.2% | 20 |
| 296d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | SZA | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,104 | +$9 +0.3% | 20 |
| 296d | aviato | SZA | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,689 | +$19 +0.4% | 20 |
| 296d | aaa64 fills | SZA | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $18,801 | +$231 +1.2% | 20 |
| 296d |  chefepanda | SZA | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,312 | −$62 −0.5% | — |
| 296d |  nt0 | SZA | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,127 | −$25 −0.8% | — |
| 296d | 0xdc3E831cad | SZA | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,252 | +$11 +0.9% | 20 |
| 296d |  .near | SZA | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,128 | +$25 +0.4% | 20 |
| 296d | Kevindoto4 fills | SZA | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $13,051 | +$235 +1.8% | 20 |
| 296d | pantomime | SZA | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,838 | +$11 +0.4% | 20 |
| 296d | JewedGambler | SZA | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$8 +0.7% | 20 |
| 296d | 0xdamocles2 fills | SZA | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$467 +5.8% | 20 |
| 296d |  Malta | SZA | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,237 | −$113 −9.1% | — |
| 296d | dube2 fills | SZA | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,901 | +$386 +7.9% | 20 |
| 296d |  NadyaSuleman | SZA | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,368 | +$340 +7.8% | 20 |
| 296d |  The-Joker | SZA | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | +$80 +7.6% | 20 |
| 296d |  lmtfalone | SZA | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,469 | −$219 −8.9% | — |
| 296d | tf2 | SZA | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$93 +8.1% | 20 |
| 296d |  ScottyNooo3 fills | SZA | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $62,055 | +$12,491 +20% | 20 |
| 296d |  PlsDontCry | SZA | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,431 | −$142 −9.9% | — |
| 296d |  AIexparker | SZA | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,883 | −$136 −7.2% | — |
| 296d | chefepanda | SZA | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $10,196 | +$723 +7.1% | 20 |
| 296d |  GayPride | SZA | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,991 | +$227 +11% | 20 |
| 296d | nt0 | SZA | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,823 | +$329 +12% | 20 |
| 296d | lontou | SZA | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,084 | +$256 +24% | 20 |
| 296d |  pup1 | SZA | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | −$500 −33% | — |
| 296d |  residual | SZA | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $3,844 | −$901 −23% | — |
| 296d | residual | SZA | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,248 | +$490 +15% | 20 |
| 296d | PlsDontCry | SZA | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,592 | +$181 +11% | 20 |
| 296d |  MONARCA-DE-LOS-MARES | SZA | SellNo18¢ → 0¢ | $1,038 | +$1,038 +100% | — |
| 296d | pup1 | SZA | BuyYes47¢ → 100¢ | $2,175 | +$2,466 +113% | 20 |
| 296d | Probs | SZA | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $1,885 | −$1,885 −100% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new song between October 9 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date. Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, will also not count. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. For listed groups of artists, tracks released by individual members, sub-units, or under any designation other than the listed group name will not count toward resolution. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for SZA means the market gives it about 100%.