| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 572 | 52¢ → 51¢ | $289 | −$9 −2.9% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 459 | 46¢ → 44¢ | $202 | −$9 −4.3% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,008 | 28¢ → 17¢ | $166 | −$116 −41% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 351 | 40¢ → 39¢ | $135 | −$5 −3.8% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 11d | No | 178 | 82¢ → 72¢ | $127 | −$19 −13% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 177 | 69¢ → 64¢ | $112 | −$10 −8.0% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | Yes | 309 | 32¢ → 30¢ | $91 | −$7 −7.2% |
| Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?Ends in 36d | No | 87 | 91¢ → 90¢ | $78 | −$1 −1.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 176 | 37¢ → 35¢ | $62 | −$4 −5.4% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?Ends in 4d | No | 71 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $61 | −$1 −2.1% |
| Will Vozinha attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | No | 249 | 35¢ → 24¢ | $60 | −$27 −31% |
| Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 446 | 18¢ → 12¢ | $54 | −$27 −33% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Ends in 11d | No | 59 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $49 | −$1 −1.2% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Ends in 234d | No | 354 | 17¢ → 14¢ | $48 | −$12 −21% |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 382 | 13¢ → 11¢ | $40 | −$10 −19% |
| Will Benfica finish first in UEL league phase?Ends in 127d | No | 80 | 60¢ → 47¢ | $37 | −$11 −23% |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?Ends in 8d | No | 63 | 80¢ → 53¢ | $33 | −$17 −34% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 73¢ → 66¢ | $33 | −$4 −10% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?Ends in 33d | No | 60 | 47¢ → 46¢ | $27 | −$1 −3.2% |
| Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 69d | Yes | 359 | 9¢ → 7¢ | $23 | −$7 −24% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 377 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $17 | −$6 −25% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 60 | 29¢ → 27¢ | $16 | −$1 −8.6% |
| Will "Coward" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 114 | 29¢ → 14¢ | $15 | −$18 −53% |
| Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Ends in 234d | Yes | 236 | 2¢ → 6¢ | $15 | +$11 +309% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?Ends in 250d | No | 79 | 20¢ → 17¢ | $13 | −$3 −18% |
| Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?Ends in 525d | Yes | 713 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $12 | −$6 −34% |
| Will Alex Padilla vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 69d | Yes | 172 | 9¢ → 7¢ | $12 | −$4 −27% |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 80 | 29¢ → 14¢ | $12 | −$12 −50% |
| Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 61 | 68¢ → 18¢ | $11 | −$31 −74% |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 14,767 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$159 −96% |
| Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 14,767 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$159 −96% |
| Will João Neves win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 14,767 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$159 −96% |
| Will Nuno Mendes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 14,767 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$159 −96% |
| Will Gabriel Magalhães win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 14,767 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$159 −96% |
| Will Julián Quiñones win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 14,767 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$159 −96% |
| Will Ferran Torres win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 14,767 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$159 −96% |
| Will William Saliba win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 14,767 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$159 −96% |
| Will Sadio Mané win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 14,767 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$159 −96% |
| Will Marquinhos win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 14,767 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$159 −96% |
| Will Dayot Upamecano win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 14,767 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$159 −96% |
| Will Willian Pacho win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 14,767 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$159 −96% |
| Will Gavi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 14,767 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$159 −96% |
| Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 14,767 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$159 −96% |
| Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 14,767 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$159 −96% |
| Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 14,767 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$159 −96% |
| Will Marc Cucurella win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 14,767 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$159 −96% |
| Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 14,767 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$159 −96% |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 14,322 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$154 −96% |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?Ends in 6d | Yes | 67 | 28¢ → 9¢ | $6 | −$13 −68% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?Ends in 23h | Yes | 370 | 10¢ → 2¢ | $6 | −$31 −85% |
| Will Knight win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?Ends in 36d | Yes | 100 | 8¢ → 6¢ | $6 | −$2 −30% |
| Luke Campbell arrested by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 66 | 22¢ → 9¢ | $6 | −$9 −61% |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election?Ends in 226d | No | 31 | 23¢ → 18¢ | $5 | −$2 −24% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Ends in 128d | Yes | 50 | 18¢ → 11¢ | $5 | −$4 −42% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 93 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $5 | −$3 −36% |
| Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 9,444 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$101 −96% |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 9,195 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$99 −96% |
| Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 69d | Yes | 62 | 13¢ → 7¢ | $4 | −$4 −46% |
| Will New Mexico Lobos Win the 2026 Mountain West Championship?Ends in 56d | No | 8 | 67¢ → 51¢ | $4 | −$1 −25% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 352 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $4 | −$9 −69% |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 23h | Yes | 360 | 10¢ → 1¢ | $4 | −$32 −90% |
| Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 111 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$6 −63% |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?Ends in 23h | Yes | 370 | 10¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$34 −92% |
| Will Jamilu Isyaku Gwamna win the 2027 Gombe State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | No | 10 | 33¢ → 30¢ | $3 | −$0 −11% |
| Will "Toy Story 5" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 95 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$6 −66% |
| Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,852 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$68 −96% |
| Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 12 | 23¢ → 22¢ | $3 | −$0 −4.3% |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 4 | 25¢ → 65¢ | $3 | +$2 +160% |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Ends in 159d | Yes | 3 | 79¢ → 76¢ | $2 | −$0 −3.8% |
| Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 66 | 70¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$44 −96% |
| Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 64¢ → 49¢ | $2 | −$1 −24% |
| Will the Democrats win Clark County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 39 | 19¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$6 −76% |
| Will Bruce Walden win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Lesil McGuire win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Shelley Hughes win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Jessica Faircloth win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Gregg Brelsford win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Destry J. Payne Sr. win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Hank Kroll win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,100 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$76 −98% |
| Will Marvel's Wolverine win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 69d | Yes | 153 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$1 −49% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 42¢ → 42¢ | $1 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will Darius Taylor be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?Ends in 72d | Yes | 20 | 13¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$1 −49% |
| Will The Black Ball win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 4 | 3¢ → 35¢ | $1 | +$1 +1251% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 349 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$11 −90% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 759 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$7 −87% |
| Will m0NESY play for Falcons in 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 198 | 10¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$19 −95% |
| Will Ante Budimir (Osasuna) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Ends in 234d | Yes | 335 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$4 −80% |
| Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 1,929 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$49 −98% |
