| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 3,276 | 78¢ → 77¢ | $2,506 | −$55 −2.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2,328 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $1,921 | +$72 +3.9% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 1,936 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $1,584 | −$35 −2.1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,322 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $1,144 | −$3 −0.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,091 | 69¢ → 77¢ | $840 | +$83 +11% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 917 | 79¢ → 85¢ | $775 | +$51 +7.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,141 | 63¢ → 65¢ | $741 | +$19 +2.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,088 | 62¢ → 66¢ | $713 | +$39 +5.8% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 3,404 | 21¢ → 17¢ | $562 | −$141 −20% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 734 | 51¢ → 53¢ | $386 | +$11 +2.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 346 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $339 | +$2 +0.6% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 349 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $333 | +$2 +0.6% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 2,008 | 14¢ → 16¢ | $313 | +$24 +8.2% |
| Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?Ends in 4d | Opp. | 482 | 45¢ → 61¢ | $292 | +$73 +34% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,002 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $286 | −$12 −4.1% |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 295 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $282 | +$5 +1.7% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 299 | 77¢ → 78¢ | $232 | +$1 +0.3% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 238 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $228 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 924 | 27¢ → 23¢ | $213 | −$33 −13% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 251 | 71¢ → 74¢ | $185 | +$6 +3.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 713 | 25¢ → 26¢ | $182 | +$3 +1.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 203 | 92¢ → 88¢ | $179 | −$7 −3.9% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 966 | 8¢ → 19¢ | $179 | +$101 +131% |
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 170 | 76¢ → >99¢ | $169 | +$40 +30% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $164 | −$3 −1.9% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 160 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $155 | +$9 +5.8% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 165 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $150 | −$2 −1.5% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 217 | 77¢ → 65¢ | $140 | −$26 −16% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 152 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $139 | +$2 +1.2% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 184 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $137 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 540 | 22¢ → 24¢ | $127 | +$8 +6.7% |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 155 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $121 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 145 | 79¢ → 81¢ | $117 | +$3 +2.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 132 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $116 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 116 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $115 | +$2 +2.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 5d | Yes | 138 | 83¢ → 82¢ | $112 | −$2 −1.8% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 1d | Yes | 160 | 68¢ → 69¢ | $111 | +$2 +1.6% |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 140 | 84¢ → 79¢ | $110 | −$8 −6.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 522 | 20¢ → 21¢ | $107 | +$3 +2.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 308 | 56¢ → 34¢ | $104 | −$67 −39% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 139 | 66¢ → 73¢ | $101 | +$9 +9.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | Yes | 161 | 60¢ → 59¢ | $95 | −$2 −1.7% |
| Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 98 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $94 | +$5 +6.0% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 157 | 61¢ → 59¢ | $92 | −$3 −3.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 103 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $89 | −$1 −1.1% |
| Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Ends in 647d | No | 98 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $87 | −$1 −1.1% |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 93 | 66¢ → 94¢ | $87 | +$26 +42% |
| Will Otti Alex Chioma win the 2027 Abia State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | Yes | 98 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $86 | −$2 −2.2% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 265 | 53¢ → 32¢ | $85 | −$56 −40% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 118 | 68¢ → 70¢ | $82 | +$1 +1.5% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 105 | 82¢ → 76¢ | $80 | −$6 −7.3% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 84 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $79 | +$2 +2.4% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 47d | Yes | 100 | 84¢ → 78¢ | $78 | −$7 −7.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 100 | 75¢ → 77¢ | $77 | +$2 +2.7% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 148 | 48¢ → 50¢ | $73 | +$3 +4.7% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 226 | 54¢ → 33¢ | $73 | −$49 −40% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 111 | 60¢ → 66¢ | $73 | +$6 +9.5% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 69d | Yes | 91 | 73¢ → 80¢ | $72 | +$6 +9.2% |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Ends ended | Yes | 73 | 71¢ → 99¢ | $72 | +$21 +40% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 107 | 57¢ → 67¢ | $71 | +$10 +17% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 70 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $69 | +$2 +2.3% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 92 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $68 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 179 | 41¢ → 38¢ | $67 | −$6 −8.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 75 | 80¢ → 88¢ | $66 | +$5 +9.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 91 | 69¢ → 73¢ | $66 | +$4 +5.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 868 | 13¢ → 8¢ | $65 | −$46 −41% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 86 | 72¢ → 76¢ | $65 | +$3 +4.9% |
| Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 68 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $64 | +$5 +7.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 71 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $64 | −$2 −3.7% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 74 | 64¢ → 85¢ | $63 | +$15 +31% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 1d | Yes | 66 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $61 | +$1 +1.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 71 | 77¢ → 84¢ | $60 | +$5 +9.1% |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 250d | No | 75 | 51¢ → 79¢ | $59 | +$21 +54% |
| Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 420 | 12¢ → 14¢ | $57 | +$5 +10% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 73 | 67¢ → 78¢ | $57 | +$8 +16% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 59 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $56 | +$9 +18% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 57 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $56 | +$7 +15% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Ends ended | No | 56 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $55 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 63 | 80¢ → 87¢ | $55 | +$5 +9.0% |
| Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Ends in 40m | No | 59 | 77¢ → 92¢ | $54 | +$9 +20% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 77 | 67¢ → 69¢ | $53 | +$2 +2.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 215 | 28¢ → 25¢ | $53 | −$7 −12% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 152 | 56¢ → 33¢ | $51 | −$34 −40% |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 78 | 46¢ → 61¢ | $48 | +$12 +33% |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 40m | Yes | 50 | 30¢ → 92¢ | $46 | +$31 +207% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 91 | 38¢ → 51¢ | $46 | +$11 +33% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 256 | 51¢ → 18¢ | $45 | −$86 −66% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 70 | 58¢ → 64¢ | $45 | +$4 +9.4% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 58 | 72¢ → 77¢ | $45 | +$3 +7.5% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 61 | 72¢ → 74¢ | $45 | +$1 +2.3% |
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 6.8M in September?Ends in 10d | No | 48 | 68¢ → 91¢ | $44 | +$11 +33% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 70 | 64¢ → 62¢ | $43 | −$1 −3.3% |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 45 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $43 | +$4 +9.9% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 182 | 42¢ → 21¢ | $38 | −$38 −50% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 54 | 64¢ → 68¢ | $36 | +$2 +5.5% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | No | 66 | 45¢ → 54¢ | $35 | +$6 +19% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 45 | 71¢ → 79¢ | $35 | +$3 +10% |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 44 | 57¢ → 80¢ | $35 | +$10 +39% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 40 | 90¢ → 87¢ | $35 | −$1 −3.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 83 | 35¢ → 40¢ | $33 | +$5 +16% |
