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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 15% | +1 pts | −9 pts | 13¢ · 17¢ (4¢) | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d |  Valen9 | December 31 | BuyNo81¢ → 85¢ | $1,669 | +$83 +5.0% | 20 |
| 47d |  paddaa | December 31 | BuyNo67¢ → 85¢ | $1,360 | +$369 +27% | 20 |
| 113d | calami | Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,147 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 145d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by May 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,480 | +$20 +0.8% | 20 |
| 191d |  RememberAmalek | Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,425 | +$51 +2.1% | 20 |
| 200d |  Melqui3 fills | Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,150 | +$417 +6.8% | 20 |
| 214d | paddaa | Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | −$55 −5.3% | — |
| 216d | paddaa | Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,922 | +$262 +14% | 20 |
| 217d |  GollumGekko | Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | +$84 +7.5% | 20 |
Gohst2,000 shares
LaPulgaAtomica1,383 shares
LornaPredicts119 sharesValen92,061 shares
Bperil1,148 shares
crypto-basenji302 shares
ABALOSPRESOPOLITICO86 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Colombian President Gustavo Petro by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 15¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 15%.