| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 99d | No | 22,000 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $20,350 | +$1,570 +8.4% |
| Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 8,097 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $7,247 | +$197 +2.8% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 525d | No | 6,959 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $5,828 | +$77 +1.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 5,000 | 64¢ → 93¢ | $4,625 | +$1,449 +46% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6,500 | 61¢ → 71¢ | $4,582 | +$640 +16% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 4,500 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $4,117 | +$198 +5.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 4,000 | 76¢ → 94¢ | $3,740 | +$713 +24% |
| SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3,080 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $3,020 | +$233 +8.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 96d | Yes | 3,173 | 55¢ → 68¢ | $2,142 | +$396 +23% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 2,000 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $1,917 | +$243 +15% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 2,000 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $1,650 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 69d | No | 1,600 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $1,504 | +$130 +9.5% |
| Revolut IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,348 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $1,294 | +$69 +5.7% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,184 | 72¢ → 96¢ | $1,136 | +$285 +34% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 77¢ → 98¢ | $976 | +$202 +26% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 49¢ → 96¢ | $955 | +$465 +95% |
| Amazon 2026 capex above $190B?Ends in 189d | Yes | 986 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $953 | +$95 +11% |
| Brex IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 897 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $889 | +$26 +3.0% |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 1,368 | 76¢ → 65¢ | $882 | −$151 −15% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | No | 773 | 78¢ → 99¢ | $764 | +$158 +26% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 1,000 | 63¢ → 73¢ | $730 | +$96 +15% |
| Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?Ends in 37d | No | 1,026 | 52¢ → 63¢ | $647 | +$110 +20% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 600 | 82¢ → 98¢ | $586 | +$93 +19% |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 585 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $571 | +$65 +13% |
| Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 550 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $538 | +$60 +13% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Soria in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 575 | 77¢ → 93¢ | $532 | +$90 +20% |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $495 | +$24 +5.1% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 500 | 60¢ → 96¢ | $481 | +$180 +60% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Cantabria in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 515 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $458 | +$8 +1.7% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 525d | Yes | 500 | 78¢ → 81¢ | $405 | +$15 +3.8% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 19¢ → 81¢ | $403 | +$308 +324% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 400 | 82¢ → 98¢ | $390 | +$64 +20% |
| Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 360 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $354 | +$27 +8.4% |
| Canva IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 358 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $348 | +$70 +25% |
| Will EH Bildu win the most seats in Gipuzkoa in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 387 | 70¢ → 89¢ | $343 | +$70 +26% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 347 | 81¢ → 87¢ | $300 | +$19 +6.8% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 300 | 37¢ → 94¢ | $281 | +$169 +152% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 289 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $279 | +$13 +4.8% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Ávila in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 282 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $270 | +$8 +3.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 400 | 61¢ → 64¢ | $256 | +$11 +4.5% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 400 | 70¢ → 61¢ | $242 | −$38 −14% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 250 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $238 | +$23 +10% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 300 | 77¢ → 77¢ | $231 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Lugo in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 239 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $228 | +$13 +6.1% |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,194 | 78¢ → 10¢ | $219 | −$1,500 −87% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Pontevedra in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 225 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $210 | +$16 +8.0% |
| Amazon 2026 capex above $200B?Ends in 189d | Yes | 224 | 53¢ → 92¢ | $206 | +$88 +75% |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 300 | 62¢ → 66¢ | $196 | +$10 +5.3% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $196 | +$23 +13% |
| Will PP win the Melilla seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 206 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $196 | +$5 +2.6% |
| Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?Ends in 37d | Yes | 227 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $191 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Murcia in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 221 | 80¢ → 86¢ | $189 | +$13 +7.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 81¢ → 94¢ | $187 | +$25 +15% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Teruel in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 177 | 83¢ → 82¢ | $146 | −$1 −0.8% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Segovia in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 144 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $140 | +$9 +6.6% |
| Will PP win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 167 | 58¢ → 82¢ | $137 | +$41 +42% |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,755 | 33¢ → 8¢ | $133 | −$440 −77% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Ourense in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 133 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $127 | +$5 +4.0% |
| Will BP be acquired before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 126 | 66¢ → 97¢ | $122 | +$38 +46% |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?Ends in 97d | No | 200 | 54¢ → 57¢ | $114 | +$7 +6.9% |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in Tarragona in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 120 | 68¢ → 88¢ | $105 | +$24 +29% |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$2 +2.4% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$7 +8.0% |
| Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$5 +5.9% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 718 | 33¢ → 14¢ | $97 | −$140 −59% |
| Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $97 | +$8 +8.5% |
| Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?Ends in 189d | Yes | 93 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $90 | +$6 +7.1% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 91 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $87 | +$7 +8.5% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | Yes | 2,510 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $85 | −$21 −20% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Salamanca in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 82 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $79 | +$4 +5.9% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 140 | 54¢ → 56¢ | $78 | +$3 +3.7% |
| Will PP win the most seats in A Coruña in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 81 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $76 | +$5 +7.4% |
| Will Podemos win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 76 | 59¢ → 78¢ | $59 | +$14 +31% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Ciudad Real in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 72 | 80¢ → 79¢ | $57 | −$1 −1.0% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 53d | No | 200 | 18¢ → 27¢ | $53 | +$17 +47% |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $49 | +$3 +6.7% |
| Stripe IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $49 | +$4 +8.7% |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B?Ends in 189d | No | 43 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $41 | +$6 +16% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 178 | 19¢ → 21¢ | $37 | +$3 +7.9% |
| Will PSOE win 102-107 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 35 | 56¢ → 75¢ | $26 | +$7 +34% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Cádiz in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 37 | 69¢ → 70¢ | $26 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Asturias in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 40 | 55¢ → 63¢ | $25 | +$3 +16% |
| Will Podemos win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 26 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $25 | +$1 +4.7% |
| Amazon 2026 capex above $220B?Ends in 189d | Yes | 65 | 43¢ → 37¢ | $24 | −$4 −14% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Jaén in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 38 | 44¢ → 61¢ | $23 | +$6 +38% |
| Will Podemos win 5 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 21 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $20 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Will Podemos win the most seats in Segovia in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 20 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Cuenca in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 26 | 59¢ → 67¢ | $17 | +$2 +13% |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in León in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 20 | 73¢ → 84¢ | $17 | +$2 +14% |
| Will Vox win the most seats in Murcia in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 103 | 6¢ → 12¢ | $12 | +$6 +93% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Toledo in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 17 | 37¢ → 69¢ | $12 | +$5 +86% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 320 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $9 | −$14 −61% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 8 | 83¢ → 98¢ | $8 | +$1 +19% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Alicante in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 40 | 16¢ → 17¢ | $7 | +$0 +6.3% |
| Will Podemos win exactly 1 seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 20 | 22¢ → 26¢ | $5 | +$1 +18% |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in Girona in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 8 | 39¢ → 50¢ | $4 | +$1 +27% |
| OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?Ends in 434d | Anthropic | 6 | 38¢ → 53¢ | $3 | +$1 +38% |
| Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 35 | 26¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$9 −96% |
