| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 273,419 | 8¢ → 3¢ | $7,246 | −$14,901 −67% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,406 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $43 | −$25 −37% |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,854 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $18 | −$12 −40% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 500 | 11¢ → 2¢ | $9 | −$46 −84% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,253 | 6¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$191 −96% |
| Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 232 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | +$1 +83% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 15 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$0 −23% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 5 | 25¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$1 −82% |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 854 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$260 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 92,627 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$593 −100% |
| Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,795 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,290 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 508 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$191 −100% |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$180 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15,473 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$143 −100% |
| Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,003 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 550 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11,297 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$514 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$78 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 13, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14,841 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$222 −100% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$721 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35,071 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$217 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17,914 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$117 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,886 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$131 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$230 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13,909 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$145 −100% |
| Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,003 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$575 −100% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 367 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31,487 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,277 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 14, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 18, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,936 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 794 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,351 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 65,000 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,994 −100% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41,197 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,146 −100% |
| Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,023 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 501 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$132 −100% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,110 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$253 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$76 −100% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,338 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,305 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$301 −100% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,700 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$833 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 27, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,673 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 600 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$130 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 28, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,046 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$997 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 439 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 238 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,239 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,162 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$132 −100% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,393 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$395 −100% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18,000 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,116 −100% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,000 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$249 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,970 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$83 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$143 −100% |
| Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,001 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$581 −100% |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,216 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,099 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$284 −100% |
| Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,469 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,200 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$323 −100% |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,483 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,666 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$114 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$510 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15,788 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$298 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$73 −100% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 147 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$360 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 20, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11,908 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$205 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 539 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$128 −100% |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,000 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,300 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$260 −100% |
| Will the US not strike another country before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Iran leadership change by March 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,400 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$374 −100% |
| Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 521 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,282 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$693 −100% |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 954 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$123 −100% |
| Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,937 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$147 −100% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,030 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$859 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 127 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
