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Polymarket wallet 0x014b4dc8a2bca23a6cd011cf9b593a8ed1312030 · on Polymarket since Aug 31, 2025 · also shown as Honest-Secret
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 200 | 5¢ → 7¢ | $14 | +$4 +39% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 30 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 251 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SellYes97¢ | $90 |
| 3d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21? | BuyDown2¢ | $5 |
| 5d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | SellDown20¢ | $14 |
| 5d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BuyDown10¢ | $11 |
| 6d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18? | SellDown30¢ | $8 |
| 6d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18? | SellDown30¢ | $11 |
| 6d | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-18? AND Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-18? AND Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-18? | Buy57¢ | $10 |
| 6d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18? | BuyDown15¢ | $10 |
| 7d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | SellDown30¢ | $11 |
| 7d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | SellDown30¢ | $6 |
| 7d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | SellDown30¢ | $6 |
| 7d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | BuyDown13¢ | $11 |
| 8d | Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5) AND Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-10-16? AND Will FC Energie Cottbus win on 2026-10-16? | Buy39¢ | $10 |
| 9d | Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-10-15? AND Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-15? AND Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-10-15? | Buy29¢ | $10 |
| 10d | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-14? AND Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14? AND Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-10-14? | Buy54¢ | $10 |
| 12d | Spread: Torino FC (-1.5) AND Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-12? AND Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12? | Buy53¢ | $10 |
| 13d | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-11? AND Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-11? AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11? | Buy35¢ | $10 |
| 14d | Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5) AND Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-10? AND Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10? | Buy47¢ | $10 |
| 15d | Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5) AND Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-09? AND Will Málaga CF win on 2026-10-09? | Buy35¢ | $10 |
| 18d | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SellYes2¢ | $8 |
| 18d | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SellYes2¢ | $8 |
| 18d | Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) AND Spread: England (-1.5) AND Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Buy28¢ | $10 |
| 20d | Spread: Germany (-1.5) AND Will Serbia win on 2026-10-04? AND Will Norway win on 2026-10-04? | Buy54¢ | $10 |
| 26d | Will Italy win on 2026-09-28? AND Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-09-28? | Buy43¢ | $10 |
| 27d | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27? AND Will Serbia win on 2026-09-27? | Buy58¢ | $10 |
| 28d | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? AND Will Czechia win on 2026-09-26? AND Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-26? | Buy26¢ | $10 |
| 29d | Will Denmark win on 2026-09-24? AND Will Serbia win on 2026-09-24? | Buy57¢ | $10 |
| 34d | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-20? AND Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20? AND Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-20? | Buy42¢ | $10 |
| 35d | Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-09-19? AND Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19? AND Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-19? | Buy55¢ | $10 |
| 36d | Will Watford FC win on 2026-09-18? AND Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | Buy51¢ | $10 |
| 37d | Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-09-17? AND Will Málaga CF win on 2026-09-17? AND Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-17? | Buy57¢ | $10 |
| 41d | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? AND Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13? AND Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-09-13? | Buy21¢ | $10 |
| 42d | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-12? AND Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-09-12? AND Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-12? AND Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-12? | Buy27¢ | $10 |
| 42d | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-12? AND Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-12? AND Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-12? | Buy53¢ | $10 |
| 43d | Will Venezia FC win on 2026-09-11? AND Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-11? AND Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-09-11? | Buy44¢ | $10 |
| 46d | Will Bolton Wanderers FC win on 2026-09-08? AND Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-08? AND Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-08? | Buy52¢ | $10 |
| 47d | Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-09-07? AND Will US Lecce win on 2026-09-07? AND Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-07? | Buy32¢ | $10 |
| 48d | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06? AND Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-06? | Buy61¢ | $10 |
| 49d | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05? AND Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-05? AND Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-05? | Buy18¢ | $11 |
| 108d | Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BuyYes31¢ | $4 |
| 108d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes14¢ | $10 |
| 108d | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BuyYes23¢ | $7 |
| 112d | Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? | BuyYes11¢ | $51 |
| 134d | Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | BuyYes64¢ | $10 |
| 146d | Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | BuyThunder78¢ | $6 |
| 146d | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BuyNo10¢ | $7 |
| 146d | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BuyNo10¢ | $3 |
| 146d | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BuyNo10¢ | $0 |
| 146d | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | SellYes26¢ | $21 |
| 146d | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | SellYes19¢ | $21 |
| 146d | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BuyYes20¢ | $10 |
| 161d | Spurs vs. Timberwolves | SellTimberwolves8¢ | $12 |
| 161d | Spurs vs. Timberwolves | BuyTimberwolves4¢ | $10 |
| 162d | Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? | BuyYes5¢ | $4 |
| 164d | Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? | BuyYes5¢ | $6 |
| 164d | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BuyYes13¢ | $5 |
| 166d | Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | SellNo83¢ | $48 |
| 166d | Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | SellNo14¢ | $45 |
| 166d | Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | BuyNo87¢ | $50 |
| 166d | Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | BuyNo15¢ | $51 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.