| Will Steven Del Duca win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 164 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $160 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 162 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $154 | +$5 +3.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 123 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $119 | +$3 +2.7% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 20h | Yes | 145 | 62¢ → 79¢ | $114 | +$24 +26% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 140 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $101 | +$2 +2.1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 482 | 20¢ → 21¢ | $99 | +$3 +2.7% |
| Will Paul Lefebvre win the 2026 Greater Sudbury mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 95 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $92 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 130 | 52¢ → 68¢ | $88 | +$20 +29% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 200 million or more views on week 1?Ends ended | No | 82 | 85¢ → >99¢ | $82 | +$12 +17% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 222 | 19¢ → 35¢ | $78 | +$36 +85% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 434 | 21¢ → 18¢ | $76 | −$15 −17% |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 218d | Yes | 1,022 | 9¢ → 7¢ | $75 | −$17 −19% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 2d | Yes | 113 | 71¢ → 66¢ | $74 | −$6 −7.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 90 | 79¢ → 80¢ | $72 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 85 | 95¢ → 79¢ | $67 | −$14 −17% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 81 | 82¢ → 80¢ | $65 | −$2 −3.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 71 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $61 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 63 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $60 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 157 | 27¢ → 35¢ | $54 | +$12 +29% |
| Will Bryan Paterson win the 2026 Kingston mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 57 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $54 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 92 | 47¢ → 55¢ | $51 | +$7 +16% |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | No | 53 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $51 | +$1 +1.5% |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 57 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $49 | +$1 +2.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 72 | 61¢ → 64¢ | $46 | +$2 +3.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 52 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $45 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 53 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $44 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 62 | 65¢ → 69¢ | $43 | +$2 +5.7% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 52 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $42 | +$1 +3.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 61 | 52¢ → 68¢ | $41 | +$9 +29% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 20h | No | 39 | 46¢ → >99¢ | $39 | +$21 +117% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 75 | 47¢ → 48¢ | $35 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 56 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $35 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 39 | 75¢ → 84¢ | $33 | +$4 +12% |
| Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Ends in 7d | No | 46 | 48¢ → 66¢ | $30 | +$8 +36% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 73 | 39¢ → 38¢ | $28 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 103 | 28¢ → 27¢ | $27 | −$2 −5.5% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 63 | 41¢ → 41¢ | $26 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 111 | 22¢ → 23¢ | $25 | +$1 +4.1% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?Ends in 434d | Yes | 39 | 36¢ → 61¢ | $24 | +$10 +71% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 30 | 64¢ → 77¢ | $23 | +$4 +21% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 25 | 72¢ → 89¢ | $22 | +$4 +24% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends ended | No | 22 | 90¢ → >99¢ | $22 | +$2 +11% |
| Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 23 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $22 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Gus Bilirakis be the next US Ambassador to Greece?Ends in 818d | No | 24 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $22 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 26 | 81¢ → 80¢ | $21 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 66 | 11¢ → 31¢ | $20 | +$13 +187% |
| Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 155 | 12¢ → 13¢ | $20 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 59 | 55¢ → 33¢ | $19 | −$13 −41% |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 24 | 78¢ → 79¢ | $19 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 110 | 16¢ → 17¢ | $19 | +$1 +4.3% |
| Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 21 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $19 | +$1 +3.5% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 23 | 79¢ → 80¢ | $18 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 19 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $17 | −$1 −3.0% |
| Will Kevin Acton win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 20h | Yes | 15 | 76¢ → 98¢ | $15 | +$3 +30% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 2d | Yes | 42 | 31¢ → 35¢ | $15 | +$2 +12% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 20 | 27¢ → 66¢ | $13 | +$8 +147% |
| Will Andrea Horwath win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 78 | 23¢ → 17¢ | $13 | −$5 −27% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 21 | 52¢ → 61¢ | $13 | +$2 +17% |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 14 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $13 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 71 | 7¢ → 18¢ | $12 | +$8 +166% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $12 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 7,945 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $12 | −$16 −57% |
| Will Ariana Grande be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 11 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 2d | No | 11 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $11 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 20,772 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $10 | −$64 −86% |
| Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 12 | 73¢ → 84¢ | $10 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 10 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Ends in 2d | Yes | 12 | 78¢ → 86¢ | $10 | +$1 +10% |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T?Ends in 434d | Yes | 11 | 84¢ → 88¢ | $9 | +$0 +4.2% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 53d | Yes | 13 | 72¢ → 74¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 10 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | No | 10 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $9 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Ends in 7d | Yes | 26 | 47¢ → 35¢ | $9 | −$3 −26% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 434d | Yes | 42 | 33¢ → 21¢ | $9 | −$5 −37% |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.25T?Ends in 434d | No | 11 | 85¢ → 83¢ | $9 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 39 | 39¢ → 20¢ | $8 | −$8 −49% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 1,019 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $8 | −$1 −16% |
| Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 35¢ → 38¢ | $8 | +$1 +8.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 36 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $7 | +$0 +6.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 8 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $7 | +$0 +5.0% |
| Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 9 | 90¢ → 83¢ | $7 | −$1 −8.7% |
| Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | Yes | 7 | 81¢ → 99¢ | $7 | +$1 +21% |
| Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.50T at the end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 8 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $7 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 10 | 69¢ → 70¢ | $7 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 18 | 22¢ → 38¢ | $7 | +$3 +73% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 53d | No | 22 | 23¢ → 27¢ | $6 | +$1 +17% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 8 | 64¢ → 68¢ | $6 | +$0 +5.5% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Ends in 20h | Yes | 6 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $6 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will Priyan Samarakoone win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 20h | No | 6 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $6 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.50T at the end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 38 | 21¢ → 14¢ | $5 | −$3 −34% |
| Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 13 | 29¢ → 41¢ | $5 | +$2 +42% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Ends in 69d | No | 7 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 5 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will xAI have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | No | 5 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 160 and 170 million views on week 1?Ends ended | No | 5 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.5% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Ends ended | No | 7 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 21 | 19¢ → 22¢ | $4 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 67 | 23¢ → 6¢ | $4 | −$11 −72% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 2d | No | 12 | 30¢ → 35¢ | $4 | +$1 +15% |
| Will Gordon Zhang win the next Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 20h | Yes | 4 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $4 | +$0 +13% |
