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Polymarket wallet 0x1ba1b4a40059321976f512c7030ca718c6d62b14 · on Polymarket since Dec 31, 2025 · also shown as Confused-Van
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 89¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +12% |
| Silver (SI) Up or Down on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?Settled - ready to redeem | 100k | 1 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Nancy Pelosi Index Up or Down: Week of January 5Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 17 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 16 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.