| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 51 | 91¢ → 85¢ | $43 | −$3 −6.6% |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 43 | 20¢ → 28¢ | $12 | +$3 +40% |
| Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Ends in 63d | Yes | 856 | 20¢ → 1¢ | $9 | −$162 −95% |
| Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | No | 68 | 52¢ → 11¢ | $7 | −$28 −80% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 791 | 20¢ → 1¢ | $5 | −$153 −97% |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?Ends in 2d | Yes | 25 | 20¢ → 17¢ | $4 | −$1 −18% |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,165,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 4 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $4 | +$1 +16% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 179 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $3 | +$1 +65% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?Ends in 17h | No | 4 | 91¢ → 81¢ | $3 | −$0 −11% |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Ends in 6d | No | 5 | 57¢ → 65¢ | $3 | +$0 +13% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4?Ends in 39d | No | 4 | 85¢ → 73¢ | $3 | −$0 −14% |
| Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 4% to 5.5%?Ends in 26d | No | 4 | 75¢ → 71¢ | $3 | −$0 −5.6% |
| Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | No | 3 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $3 | +$0 +10% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$17 −87% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 101 | 11¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$9 −82% |
| Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 388 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$10 −83% |
| Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 388 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$10 −83% |
| Will Podemos win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 388 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$10 −83% |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,279 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$47 −96% |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,279 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$47 −96% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 1,154 | 11¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$126 −99% |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?Ends in 39d | No | 2 | 57¢ → 75¢ | $2 | +$0 +32% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?Ends in 17h | Yes | 5 | 6¢ → 27¢ | $1 | +$1 +357% |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 457 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$4 −78% |
| Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.0% |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$19 −96% |
| Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$19 −96% |
| Will João Neves win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$19 −96% |
| Will Nuno Mendes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$19 −96% |
| Will Gabriel Magalhães win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$19 −96% |
| Will Julián Quiñones win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$19 −96% |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$19 −96% |
| Will Ferran Torres win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$19 −96% |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$19 −96% |
| Will William Saliba win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$19 −96% |
| Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$19 −96% |
| Will Sadio Mané win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$19 −96% |
| Will Marquinhos win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$19 −96% |
| Will Dayot Upamecano win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$19 −96% |
| Will Willian Pacho win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$19 −96% |
| Will Gavi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$19 −96% |
| Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$19 −96% |
| Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$19 −96% |
| Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$19 −96% |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$19 −96% |
| Will Marc Cucurella win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$19 −96% |
| Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,735 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$19 −96% |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 179 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$1 −60% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-12 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 25 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$0 −30% |
| Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 120 | 20¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$23 −97% |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,279 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$49 −99% |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2 | 4¢ → 27¢ | $1 | +$1 +563% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 105 | 10¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$10 −94% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 1,154 | 11¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$128 −100% |
| Will Project Hail Mary win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 23 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$0 −3.4% |
| Will ByteDance be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 47 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$1 −73% |
| Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 57 | 25¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$14 −96% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 2 | 64¢ → 28¢ | $0 | −$1 −57% |
| Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?Ends in 11d | No | 1 | 53¢ → 43¢ | $0 | −$0 −19% |
| Will the Democrats win Mahoning County in the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 2 | 19¢ → 19¢ | $0 | −$0 −2.6% |
| Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 57 | 25¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$14 −98% |
| Will Ondřej Tichý be the next Mayor of Pardubice?Ends in 249d | No | 2 | 43¢ → 17¢ | $0 | −$1 −60% |
| Will "Fire Emblem: Fortune's Weave" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?Ends in 38d | Yes | 30 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −68% |
| Will The Social Reckoning win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 23 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −43% |
| Will Democrats win the Alaska Governor election and Republicans win the Alaska Senate election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2 | 20¢ → 14¢ | $0 | −$0 −28% |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?Ends in 112d | Yes | 24 | 14¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$3 −91% |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 594 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$6 −96% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 4 | 8¢ → 7¢ | $0 | −$0 −12% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 536 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$6 −96% |
| Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 448 | 14¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,146,000 and $1,165,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 44 | 14¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$6 −96% |
| Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election?Ends in 226d | No | 1 | 41¢ → 21¢ | $0 | −$0 −49% |
| Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 3 | 3¢ → 6¢ | $0 | +$0 +120% |
| Will "Star Wars Zero Company" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?Ends in 38d | Yes | 30 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −84% |
| Will "Valheim" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?Ends in 38d | Yes | 30 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −84% |
| Will "Escape from Tarkov" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?Ends in 38d | Yes | 30 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −84% |
| Will "Pokémon Pokopia" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?Ends in 38d | Yes | 30 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −84% |
| Will "The Blood of Dawnwalker" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?Ends in 38d | Yes | 30 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −84% |
| Will "Mewgenics" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?Ends in 38d | Yes | 30 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −84% |
| Will "Gears of War: E-Day" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?Ends in 38d | Yes | 30 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −84% |
| Will Salman bin Ebrahim Al Khalifa be the next President of FIFA?Ends in 146d | Yes | 31 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −82% |
| Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 292 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$12 −99% |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 95 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −96% |
| Will StepFun be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 47 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −93% |
| Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 3 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $0 | +$0 +76% |
| Will Amazon’s market capitalization be at least $4.50T at the end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 8 | 14¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −89% |
| Will Saturn Return win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 23 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −77% |
| Will Cry to Heaven win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 23 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −79% |
| Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Ends in 3d | Yes | 71 | 25¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$18 −99% |
| Will Toy Story 5 win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 23 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −81% |
| Will Clarissa win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 23 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −81% |
| Will The Whisper Man win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 23 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −83% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 24 | 17¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −98% |
| Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 68d | Yes | 41 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −91% |
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 3 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $0 | +$0 +5.4% |
| Will October 2026 be the 4th or lower on record?Ends in 36d | Yes | 50 | 25¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$12 −99% |
| Will "LEGO Batman: Legacy of the Dark Knight" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?Ends in 38d | Yes | 30 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −93% |
| Will Meituan be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 47 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −96% |
| Will The Devil Wears Prada 2 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 68d | Yes | 41 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −93% |
| Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 159d | Yes | 41 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −93% |
