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Polymarket wallet 0x216ce7f053930b46aa0ffa72c1191bd4857547a4 · on Polymarket since Dec 19, 2024 · also shown as Roasted-Umbrella
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | No | 500 | 61¢ → 56¢ | $279 | −$24 −7.9% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 300 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $272 | +$8 +2.8% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 220 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $215 | +$9 +4.4% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $200 | +$2 +1.2% |
| Will Empoli achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.