TheUnconsiousStatistician

Polymarket wallet 0x24db86aab1e034050ef3248ba332644fe52b5947 · on Polymarket since Dec 17, 2024 · also shown as Urban-Shallot

Open on Polymarket ↗

I like apples

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$104
Volume traded: $539K
All-time rank: #2,653,636
Markets traded: 420
Recent hit rate: 96%48 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	830	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	514	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	409	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	490	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 11AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	409	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	829	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	409	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will Elon tweet 380–394 times August 8–August 15?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	185	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	448	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$11 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	520	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	514	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 25–August 1?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,257	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$52 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	409	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	830	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	829	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	396	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	830	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	484	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	830	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	466	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Will Elon tweet 290–304 times August 8–August 15?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	295	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	830	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Will Elon tweet 350–364 times August 8–August 15?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	300	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	520	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	466	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will Elon tweet 320–334 times August 8–August 15?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	300	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	84	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 13?Settled - ready to redeem	No	49	74¢ → 0¢	$0	−$36 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	514	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$257 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	341	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	490	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 8AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	514	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	490	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	514	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	520	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	520	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 1PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	10	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	300	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	490	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	448	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$224 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	830	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	514	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,436	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$161 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	409	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 25–August 1?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,257	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$52 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	711	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	799	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	409	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	830	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	480	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	600	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$54 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	520	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	439	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Will Elon tweet 425–439 times August 8–August 15?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	300	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	10	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 7AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	490	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	520	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	520	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	448	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 4AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	829	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 11PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	830	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	424	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	829	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 3AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	448	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	409	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$205 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	448	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	448	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	830	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	829	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	812	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$17 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	181	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will Elon tweet 455–469 times August 8–August 15?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	300	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	829	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$391 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	448	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$11 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	418	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 6AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 11–18?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,615	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$67 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	109	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	490	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	520	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	520	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	420	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$11 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	393	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	490	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	829	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	462	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	250	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	409	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	409	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	466	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	466	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	466	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	763	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$13 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	484	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
224d	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 13?	BuyNo74¢	$36
224d	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 13?	SellNo>99¢	$13
224d	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 13?	BuyNo97¢	$12
238d	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?	SellNo41¢	$12
238d	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?	BuyYes59¢	$41
238d	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 23 above $90?	SellNo41¢	$41
244d	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 23 above $440?	BuyNo98¢	$92
244d	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 23 above $440?	BuyNo97¢	$103
244d	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$440 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?	BuyNo97¢	$6
244d	Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 23 above $235?	BuyYes98¢	$49
244d	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?	BuyNo99¢	$248
244d	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?	BuyNo98¢	$30
244d	Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 23 above $235?	BuyNo98¢	$98
244d	Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 23 above $235?	BuyNo98¢	$171
244d	Will Meta (META) finish week of February 23 above $580?	BuyYes97¢	$78
244d	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 23 above $90?	BuyNo98¢	$98
251d	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 16 above $60?	BuyYes99¢	$102
251d	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 16 above $60?	BuyYes98¢	$81
251d	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 16 above $100?	BuyNo99¢	$248
251d	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 16 above $335?	BuyNo97¢	$32
251d	Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 16 above $280?	BuyNo95¢	$26
251d	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 16 above $450?	BuyNo98¢	$182
251d	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 16 above $100?	BuyNo98¢	$173
258d	Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 9 above $305?	BuyNo99¢	$62
258d	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 9 above $120?	BuyNo99¢	$158
258d	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 9 above $300?	BuyYes97¢	$63
258d	Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 9 above $300?	BuyNo98¢	$415
258d	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13?	BuyNo99¢	$243
259d	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 2 above $70?	BuyYes99¢	$30
259d	Will Meta (META) close at >$780 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?	SellNo100¢	$30
259d	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 2 above $70?	BuyYes99¢	$25
259d	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?	SellNo>99¢	$25
265d	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 2 above $100?	BuyNo99¢	$548
265d	Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 2 above $290?	BuyNo99¢	$77
265d	Will Meta (META) close at >$780 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?	BuyNo96¢	$29
265d	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?	BuyNo99¢	$200
265d	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 2 above $100?	BuyNo98¢	$75
271d	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $585 end of January?	BuyNo100¢	$3
271d	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $585 end of January?	BuyNo100¢	$336
271d	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $525 end of January?	BuyNo97¢	$166
271d	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $100 end of January?	BuyNo99¢	$183
271d	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 end of January?	BuyNo98¢	$31
271d	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $100 end of January?	BuyNo98¢	$197
279d	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 19 above $120?	BuyNo99¢	$248
279d	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$130 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?	BuyNo99¢	$114
279d	Will Apple (AAPL) close at >$280 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?	BuyNo98¢	$49
279d	Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of January 19 above $270?	BuyNo98¢	$294
279d	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $365?	BuyNo98¢	$196
279d	Will MrBeast hit 490 Million subscribers by March 31?	SellNo94¢	$9
279d	Will MrBeast hit 470 Million subscribers by January 31?	SellNo99¢	$24
286d	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 12 above $530?	BuyNo99¢	$173
286d	Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of January 12 above $285?	BuyNo99¢	$59
286d	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $510-$520 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?	BuyNo98¢	$77
286d	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 12 above $530?	BuyNo99¢	$99
286d	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 12 above $540?	BuyNo99¢	$450
286d	Will MrBeast hit 106.5 billion views by March 31?	SellYes>99¢	$32
290d	Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of January 5 above $210?	BuyYes98¢	$92
290d	Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of January 5 above $210?	BuyYes97¢	$73
290d	Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of January 5 above $210?	BuyYes96¢	$32
290d	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 5 above $110?	BuyNo99¢	$7

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.