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Polymarket wallet 0x2c1920825d27c31d07232ba5036af9f0d6cce131 · on Polymarket since Apr 22, 2025 · also shown as Quick-Scenario
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 4,290 | 35¢ → 17¢ | $719 | −$781 −52% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,267 | 55¢ → 12¢ | $146 | −$554 −79% |
| Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 306 | 82¢ → 42¢ | $128 | −$122 −49% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | Yes | 145 | 67¢ → 5¢ | $7 | −$91 −93% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,112 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,812 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,384 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.