| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 589 | 68¢ → 59¢ | $345 | −$54 −14% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1165d | Yes | 1,470 | 19¢ → 19¢ | $279 | $0 0.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 294 | 87¢ → 80¢ | $234 | −$22 −8.6% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 246 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $228 | +$5 +2.1% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 582 | 26¢ → 36¢ | $209 | +$56 +37% |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Ends in 434d | Yes | 215 | 73¢ → 90¢ | $194 | +$37 +23% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 177 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $168 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 265 | 80¢ → 62¢ | $163 | −$49 −23% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Ends in 68d | No | 176 | 41¢ → 93¢ | $163 | +$91 +126% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?Ends in 434d | No | 189 | 81¢ → 78¢ | $148 | −$5 −3.2% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 870 | 13¢ → 15¢ | $133 | +$17 +15% |
| SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 153 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $132 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 155 | 35¢ → 79¢ | $122 | +$68 +123% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 136 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $122 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 783 | 29¢ → 16¢ | $121 | −$105 −46% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 170 | 62¢ → 71¢ | $120 | +$14 +13% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?Ends in 434d | No | 107 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $105 | +$2 +1.6% |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 127 | 42¢ → 83¢ | $105 | +$52 +97% |
| Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 141 | 70¢ → 73¢ | $104 | +$4 +4.4% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 136 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $102 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 124 | 76¢ → 82¢ | $101 | +$7 +7.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 100 | 78¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$20 +26% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.80% before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 146 | 67¢ → 66¢ | $96 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 425 | 35¢ → 23¢ | $96 | −$53 −36% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 104 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $94 | +$6 +7.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | No | 220 | 28¢ → 41¢ | $89 | +$28 +45% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 93 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $86 | +$7 +9.2% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 85 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $82 | +$4 +5.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 507 | 18¢ → 16¢ | $79 | −$14 −15% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 363 | 39¢ → 21¢ | $76 | −$66 −46% |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 84 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $76 | +$1 +1.9% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 275 | 23¢ → 27¢ | $74 | +$12 +18% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 73 | 68¢ → 95¢ | $70 | +$20 +40% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.3% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 75 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $69 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 73 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $68 | +$5 +8.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 367 | 15¢ → 19¢ | $68 | +$13 +23% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 285 | 29¢ → 23¢ | $66 | −$18 −22% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 159 | 26¢ → 39¢ | $61 | +$20 +49% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 317 | 16¢ → 19¢ | $59 | +$8 +16% |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 181 | 26¢ → 32¢ | $58 | +$11 +22% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 171 | 35¢ → 34¢ | $57 | −$3 −4.3% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.95% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 57 | 74¢ → 95¢ | $54 | +$12 +28% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 58 | 57¢ → 85¢ | $49 | +$16 +49% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 394 | 11¢ → 13¢ | $49 | +$6 +14% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.89% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 54 | 68¢ → 91¢ | $49 | +$12 +34% |
| Houthi military action against Mecca by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 49 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $47 | +$2 +4.6% |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 156 | 76¢ → 29¢ | $46 | −$72 −61% |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 78¢ → 92¢ | $46 | +$7 +17% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 260 | 17¢ → 18¢ | $46 | +$2 +4.5% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 70 | 41¢ → 62¢ | $43 | +$14 +50% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | Yes | 70 | 56¢ → 60¢ | $42 | +$2 +6.3% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 71 | 74¢ → 58¢ | $41 | −$11 −22% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 58 | 55¢ → 70¢ | $41 | +$9 +27% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 434d | No | 58 | 54¢ → 66¢ | $38 | +$7 +22% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 37 | 22¢ → >99¢ | $37 | +$29 +363% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Ends in 16d | No | 88 | 42¢ → 41¢ | $36 | −$1 −2.3% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 266 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $36 | −$4 −10% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 44 | 63¢ → 82¢ | $36 | +$8 +29% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 404 | 17¢ → 9¢ | $34 | −$34 −50% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 60 | 52¢ → 56¢ | $34 | +$2 +6.9% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 180 | 16¢ → 19¢ | $33 | +$4 +13% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Ends in 434d | Yes | 127 | 18¢ → 26¢ | $33 | +$10 +47% |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 46 | 77¢ → 70¢ | $32 | −$3 −9.7% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 225 | 23¢ → 14¢ | $32 | −$19 −38% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 51 | 52¢ → 58¢ | $30 | +$3 +12% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 30 | 64¢ → 95¢ | $29 | +$9 +48% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 90 | 36¢ → 31¢ | $28 | −$4 −14% |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 120 | 18¢ → 22¢ | $26 | +$5 +22% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 42 | 37¢ → 60¢ | $25 | +$9 +61% |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?Ends in 342d | No | 40 | 18¢ → 57¢ | $23 | +$15 +212% |
| Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?Ends in 69d | Yes | 51 | 31¢ → 41¢ | $21 | +$5 +31% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 24 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $21 | +$1 +3.6% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 205 | 25¢ → 10¢ | $19 | −$32 −62% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 58 | 42¢ → 34¢ | $19 | −$5 −20% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 84 | 30¢ → 23¢ | $19 | −$6 −25% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 92 | 26¢ → 21¢ | $19 | −$5 −21% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 41 | 56¢ → 45¢ | $19 | −$5 −20% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% in October?Ends in 8d | No | 32 | 71¢ → 57¢ | $18 | −$4 −19% |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 21 | 63¢ → 86¢ | $18 | +$5 +37% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 25 | 90¢ → 71¢ | $18 | −$5 −22% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $75 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 111 | 12¢ → 16¢ | $18 | +$4 +29% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 308 | 29¢ → 6¢ | $17 | −$73 −81% |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Ends in 434d | Yes | 175 | 23¢ → 10¢ | $17 | −$24 −59% |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?Ends in 100d | Yes | 39 | 19¢ → 43¢ | $17 | +$10 +133% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 228 | 12¢ → 7¢ | $17 | −$11 −39% |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 107 | 37¢ → 16¢ | $17 | −$23 −58% |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 17 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $16 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 78 | 16¢ → 21¢ | $16 | +$4 +28% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 147 | 16¢ → 11¢ | $15 | −$7 −32% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 16 | 77¢ → 95¢ | $15 | +$3 +23% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1165d | Yes | 56 | 27¢ → 27¢ | $15 | −$0 −1.9% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 117 | 38¢ → 13¢ | $15 | −$30 −67% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 17 | 84¢ → 80¢ | $14 | −$1 −5.4% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 22 | 49¢ → 61¢ | $13 | +$3 +23% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 225 | 14¢ → 6¢ | $13 | −$17 −56% |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 114 | 15¢ → 12¢ | $13 | −$4 −24% |
| North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 64 | 37¢ → 20¢ | $13 | −$11 −46% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 17 | 69¢ → 73¢ | $12 | +$1 +5.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | No | 648 | 15¢ → 2¢ | $12 | −$85 −88% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 69d | No | 57 | 49¢ → 21¢ | $12 | −$16 −58% |
