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Polymarket wallet 0x2fe5daf09084efbcaac0ce3cc68c490a15234e08 · on Polymarket since Aug 2, 2024 · also shown as Simplistic-Windchime
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 594 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 College Football National Championship?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 86 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 492 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 940 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,077 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$89 −100% |
| Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10,693 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$174 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 195 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$84 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.