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Polymarket wallet 0x3516721a8aa28787d9a375f542a142a3bf46366a · on Polymarket since Oct 7, 2024 · also shown as Mountainous-Cytoplasm
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 7 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $6 | +$0 +5.2% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.9% |
| Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in May 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.5% |
| Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.3% |
| Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Ends ended | Yes | 6 | 98¢ → 27¢ | $2 | −$4 −73% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 16-22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump dance on May 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.