| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 2,043 | 20¢ → 94¢ | $1,911 | +$1,501 +367% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23?Ends ended | Yes | 339 | 86¢ → >99¢ | $339 | +$47 +16% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 421 | 57¢ → 67¢ | $282 | +$43 +18% |
| Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 227 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $185 | −$2 −0.9% |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 215 | 80¢ → 76¢ | $162 | −$9 −5.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 76°F or higher on October 23?Ends ended | No | 103 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $103 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 129d | Yes | 123 | 17¢ → 83¢ | $102 | +$81 +395% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 23?Ends ended | No | 96 | 75¢ → 99¢ | $95 | +$23 +32% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 23?Ends ended | Yes | 93 | 77¢ → >99¢ | $93 | +$21 +29% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 23?Ends ended | No | 81 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $81 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 80 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $79 | +$9 +13% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 58¢ → 67¢ | $67 | +$9 +15% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 64 | 9¢ → 96¢ | $61 | +$55 +954% |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 22?Ends ended | No | 59 | 83¢ → 99¢ | $58 | +$9 +19% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 23?Ends ended | No | 57 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $57 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 44 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $44 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 114 | 3¢ → 38¢ | $43 | +$39 +1213% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 584 | 20¢ → 7¢ | $38 | −$79 −67% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 100 | 34¢ → 34¢ | $33 | −$0 −1.1% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 34 | 20¢ → 97¢ | $33 | +$26 +384% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 24?Ends ended | No | 31 | 45¢ → 95¢ | $29 | +$16 +111% |
| Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 2d | Yes | 66 | 20¢ → 33¢ | $22 | +$8 +63% |
| Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 4,283 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $21 | −$108 −83% |
| Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 4,283 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $21 | −$108 −83% |
| Will Podemos win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 4,283 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $21 | −$108 −83% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 46d | No | 18 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $18 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 50 | 24¢ → 35¢ | $17 | +$5 +45% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 46d | No | 18 | >99¢ → 99¢ | $17 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 75%-80%?Ends in 11d | No | 22 | 88¢ → 70¢ | $16 | −$4 −20% |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 16 | 26¢ → 98¢ | $15 | +$11 +277% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 24?Ends ended | Yes | 16 | 15¢ → 99¢ | $15 | +$13 +553% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 24?Ends ended | No | 29 | 60¢ → 47¢ | $14 | −$4 −21% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?Ends in 21h | No | 13 | >99¢ → 99¢ | $13 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 2d | Yes | 66 | 33¢ → 20¢ | $13 | −$9 −40% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 24?Ends ended | No | 12 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $12 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 24?Ends ended | No | 12 | 100¢ → 99¢ | $12 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 24?Ends ended | No | 12 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $12 | +$1 +6.1% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 46d | Yes | 191 | 11¢ → 6¢ | $11 | −$10 −49% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on October 24?Ends ended | No | 10 | >99¢ → 99¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 24?Ends ended | No | 12 | 58¢ → 68¢ | $8 | +$1 +17% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 129d | Yes | 56 | 17¢ → 13¢ | $7 | −$2 −22% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 25 | 36¢ → 29¢ | $7 | −$2 −21% |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 40¢ → 69¢ | $7 | +$3 +72% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 14 | 44¢ → 45¢ | $6 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 46d | No | 22 | 28¢ → 28¢ | $6 | +$0 +2.9% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 18 | 24¢ → 33¢ | $6 | +$2 +35% |
| Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 2d | Yes | 66 | 1¢ → 8¢ | $5 | +$5 +726% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 22 | 17¢ → 22¢ | $5 | +$1 +29% |
| Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 7,729 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$211 −98% |
| Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 7,729 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$211 −98% |
| Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 7,729 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$211 −98% |
| Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 7,729 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$211 −98% |
| Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 7,729 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$211 −98% |
| Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 7,729 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$211 −98% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%?Ends in 11d | No | 5 | 56¢ → 75¢ | $4 | +$1 +33% |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?Ends ended | Yes | 673 | 14¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$93 −97% |
| Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 10 | 2¢ → 30¢ | $3 | +$3 +1262% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 5,750 | 20¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$1,147 −100% |
| Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 2d | Yes | 66 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $2 | −$1 −22% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 153 | 7¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$8 −79% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 23?Ends ended | No | 2 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 23?Ends ended | No | 2 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 28 | 17¢ → 8¢ | $2 | −$3 −55% |
| Will Aitana Bonmati win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 348 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$6 −75% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 65 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$4 −65% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 25%-30%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 8¢ → 19¢ | $2 | +$1 +128% |
| Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 2 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 8¢ → 19¢ | $2 | +$1 +122% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 2 | 94¢ → 84¢ | $2 | −$0 −10% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 35%-40%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 8¢ → 10¢ | $1 | +$0 +23% |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?Ends ended | Yes | 2,019 | 14¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$287 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on October 24?Ends ended | Yes | 248 | 8¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$20 −95% |
| Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 16¢ → 9¢ | $1 | −$1 −43% |
| Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?Ends ended | Yes | 1,678 | 14¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$239 −100% |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?Ends ended | Yes | 1,659 | 14¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$236 −100% |
| Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Ends in 63d | Yes | 16 | 20¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$2 −75% |
| Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | No | 8 | 51¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$3 −81% |
| Will Lea Schuller win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 336 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$8 −92% |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Ends ended | No | 58 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$1 −46% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 23?Ends ended | No | 95 | 24¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$22 −97% |
| Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 18¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$1 −67% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?Ends in 2d | No | 44 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$0 −27% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 25¢ → 11¢ | $1 | −$1 −56% |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 1,039 | 20¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$207 −100% |
| Will Qwen have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | Yes | 97 | 7¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$6 −92% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seat in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 6 | 20¢ → 8¢ | $0 | −$1 −60% |
| Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $6M?Ends in 21h | Yes | 76 | 16¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$12 −96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 61 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +73% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 8¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −48% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Ends in 2d | No | 12 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −25% |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 832 | 20¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$166 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 24?Ends ended | Yes | 103 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −95% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 8¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$0 −51% |
| Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Ends in 2d | Yes | 66 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −45% |
| Will Roberto Cidade win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 778 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$30 −99% |
| Will Isael Munduruku win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 778 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$30 −99% |
| Will David Almeida win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 778 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$30 −99% |
| Will Gilberto Vasconcelos win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 778 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$30 −99% |
| Will Cabo Daciolo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 778 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$30 −99% |
| Will Caroline Graham Hansen win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 336 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$8 −96% |
