| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | No | 500 | 58¢ → 91¢ | $455 | +$165 +57% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 1,710 | 39¢ → 22¢ | $376 | −$294 −44% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 200 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $196 | +$28 +16% |
| US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 200 | 55¢ → 94¢ | $187 | +$77 +70% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 325 | 62¢ → 55¢ | $179 | −$23 −11% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 400 | 19¢ → 38¢ | $152 | +$76 +100% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 200 | 34¢ → 71¢ | $141 | +$73 +107% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 125 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $121 | +$21 +21% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 100 | 32¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$64 +198% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 72d | No | 100 | 55¢ → 75¢ | $75 | +$20 +35% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 217d | No | 200 | 49¢ → 34¢ | $68 | −$30 −31% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 7,307 | 23¢ → 1¢ | $66 | −$1,634 −96% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | No | 75 | 70¢ → 80¢ | $60 | +$7 +14% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 111 | 45¢ → 50¢ | $55 | +$5 +10% |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 217d | Yes | 400 | 20¢ → 13¢ | $50 | −$30 −38% |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 26 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $25 | +$2 +9.9% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 3,100 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $17 | −$11 −39% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Ends in 67d | Yes | 600 | 55¢ → 3¢ | $16 | −$317 −95% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 600 | 9¢ → 2¢ | $14 | −$41 −75% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$1 +18% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?Ends in 68d | Yes | 400 | 31¢ → 2¢ | $9 | −$114 −93% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | No | 25 | 72¢ → 30¢ | $7 | −$11 −59% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 190 | 21¢ → 3¢ | $6 | −$34 −86% |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,000 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $5 | −$29 −84% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 100 | 69¢ → 5¢ | $5 | −$65 −93% |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 1,800 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$8 −65% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 2d | Yes | 179 | 17¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 251 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$237 −100% |
| US recession in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 78 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 59 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 350 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$83 −100% |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 700 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$57 −100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 225 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$97 −100% |
| Will Cape Verde concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$125 −100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 74 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 286 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$240 −100% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$111 −100% |
| Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Algeria | 100 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 319 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,125 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$105 −100% |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 437 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Netherlands | 100 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$59 −100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$74 −100% |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 700 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$91 −100% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,369 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$57 −100% |
| Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,700 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Mexico | 500 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$139 −100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 124 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 600 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$168 −100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$73 −100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$126 −100% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$224 −100% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$122 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$66 −100% |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Colombia | 204 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$124 −100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$152 −100% |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$96 −100% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,171 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$131 −100% |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,600 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$158 −100% |
| Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 38 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Portugal | 400 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$109 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,319 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$407 −100% |
| Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Norway | 426 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$185 −100% |
| Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Paraguay | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 89 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Argentina | 200 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 375 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |