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Polymarket wallet 0x485ff32c280c0ae6c41873d58b98867f172e6bc9 · on Polymarket since Jun 12, 2025 · also shown as Smug-Chord
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 52 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $52 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $30 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 68d | No | 5 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 4 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $4 | +$0 +8.6% |
| US bank failure by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.