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Polymarket wallet 0x48de135fd72da2b456808e19a2358c1dbacf18f8 · on Polymarket since Dec 18, 2025 · also shown as Pessimistic-Caddy
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 43 | 37¢ → 54¢ | $23 | +$7 +46% |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 85 | 20¢ → 14¢ | $12 | −$5 −28% |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 161 | 9¢ → 4¢ | $7 | −$8 −53% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 26 | 23¢ → 12¢ | $3 | −$3 −50% |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 31 | 48¢ → 9¢ | $3 | −$12 −82% |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 97 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.