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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 9% | +2 pts | −4 pts | 6¢ · 11¢ (5¢) | $45 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly3 fills | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $10,721 | +$368 +3.4% | 4 |
| 114d |  Mataty13 fills | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,611 | −$215 −2.5% | — |
| 116d | Mataty15 fills | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,011 | +$327 +5.4% | 4 |
| 124d |  SPMontreal | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | −$90 −8.9% | — |
| 124d |  elmcap2 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,736 | +$319 +18% | 4 |
| 125d |  paddaa | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$806 +32% | 4 |
| 126d | 0x0742…1b483 fills | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $4,284 | −$4,284 −100% | 6 |
| 129d | SPMontreal | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,070 | +$188 +9.1% | 4 |
| 140d |  shingoWAKAYAMA3 fills | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $5,082 | +$717 +14% | 4 |
| 140d | TOPO85 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,394 | −$227 −16% | — |
| 158d |  aenews2 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $1,259 | −$1,259 −100% | 5 |
| 161d |  yen4u | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,254 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | EdwardGaming | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,211 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 168d | elmcap2 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,033 | +$107 +5.3% | 4 |
| 170d |  willsom | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,897 | −$121 −6.4% | — |
| 171d | Closed-Assertion | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,694 | +$76 +4.5% | 4 |
| 171d | lorry31222 fills | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,014 | +$204 +4.1% | 4 |
| 172d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,673 | +$145 +4.0% | 4 |
| 172d | cripes3 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,743 | −$100 −3.6% | — |
LornaPredicts53 shares
marucho7634 shares
Jblacket31 shares
bubububblebutt305 shares
SusanWarrenHR236 shares
VolynMolfar12 shares
oilstud8 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Rubén Rocha Moya is extradited to the United States between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Extradited to the United States” means Rocha Moya is physically transferred to U.S. government custody pursuant to an extradition process or equivalent custody transfer process. If Rocha Moya otherwise enters U.S. territory and is subsequently arrested or taken into U.S. government custody by the market’s end date, this will also qualify. An announcement that extradition has been requested, approved, ordered, or agreed to will not qualify unless Rocha Moya is physically transferred to, arrested by, or otherwise taken into U.S. government custody by the market’s end date. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rubén Rocha Moya, the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa, the United States government, and relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 9¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 9%.