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Polymarket wallet 0x4d4ca8110fe97ff0a735bbba1c1e91d8fa2f62fc · on Polymarket since Oct 18, 2025 · also shown as Afraid-Serval
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 32 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $32 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 26 | 99¢ → 97¢ | $25 | −$0 −1.3% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $12 | +$0 +3.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 40¢ → 76¢ | $8 | +$4 +91% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | Yes | 5 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 39¢ → 24¢ | $2 | −$2 −40% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5 | 88¢ → 12¢ | $1 | −$4 −87% |
| Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | Yes | 5 | 55¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$3 −97% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.