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Polymarket wallet 0x4de4438f72b91a1b959adad6e1325e11c66b5dd5 · on Polymarket since Mar 3, 2026 · also shown as Alarmed-Pit
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 236 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,373 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 438 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 266 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 51 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,440 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 160 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Bill Clinton say "President" or "Trump" 3+ times during his Epstein testimony?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,977 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 11 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.