| Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?Ends in 174d | Yes | 1,877 | 57¢ → 86¢ | $1,604 | +$528 +49% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,725 | 21¢ → 88¢ | $1,510 | +$1,148 +317% |
| Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,654 | 52¢ → 89¢ | $1,472 | +$605 +70% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,444 | 59¢ → 79¢ | $1,134 | +$283 +33% |
| Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?Ends in 76d | Yes | 955 | 40¢ → 95¢ | $903 | +$519 +135% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 836 | 15¢ → 97¢ | $815 | +$690 +552% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | No | 1,267 | 54¢ → 64¢ | $804 | +$121 +18% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 741 | 30¢ → 97¢ | $719 | +$498 +226% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 1,000 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $715 | −$5 −0.7% |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 840 | 59¢ → 81¢ | $681 | +$188 +38% |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 725 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $660 | +$43 +6.9% |
| Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $100 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 673 | 77¢ → 94¢ | $629 | +$109 +21% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 3,687 | 7¢ → 16¢ | $590 | +$318 +117% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 640 | 41¢ → 91¢ | $585 | +$322 +123% |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 870 | 33¢ → 64¢ | $559 | +$269 +93% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 622 | 13¢ → 87¢ | $544 | +$460 +549% |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 1,401 | 30¢ → 39¢ | $539 | +$112 +26% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 663 | 55¢ → 79¢ | $524 | +$160 +44% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,010 | 29¢ → 51¢ | $519 | +$223 +75% |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 1,137 | 38¢ → 45¢ | $512 | +$80 +18% |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 725 | 41¢ → 71¢ | $511 | +$211 +70% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 754 | 51¢ → 67¢ | $505 | +$123 +32% |
| Will Jay Z release an album in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 588 | 70¢ → 85¢ | $497 | +$85 +21% |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?Ends in 39d | No | 636 | 64¢ → 77¢ | $490 | +$85 +21% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 128d | Yes | 1,349 | 38¢ → 36¢ | $486 | −$33 −6.4% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 540 | 59¢ → 86¢ | $462 | +$143 +45% |
| Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 159d | Yes | 502 | 31¢ → 91¢ | $455 | +$299 +193% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 449 | 50¢ → >99¢ | $448 | +$226 +101% |
| Will GPT Sol's output price be at or below $8 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 672 | 28¢ → 66¢ | $440 | +$250 +131% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 464 | 70¢ → 94¢ | $434 | +$110 +34% |
| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 445 | 18¢ → 97¢ | $432 | +$354 +453% |
| Base iPhone 18 released by April 30, 2027?Ends in 189d | Yes | 476 | 75¢ → 89¢ | $424 | +$69 +19% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 478 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $412 | +$19 +4.8% |
| Next Gemini Argon released by January 31, 2027?Ends in 100d | No | 563 | 49¢ → 71¢ | $399 | +$125 +45% |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 819 | 21¢ → 48¢ | $389 | +$217 +127% |
| Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be below 0%?Ends in 40d | No | 452 | 71¢ → 86¢ | $387 | +$66 +20% |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 820 | 15¢ → 47¢ | $385 | +$266 +222% |
| Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 462 | 53¢ → 77¢ | $356 | +$111 +45% |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $303,000 and $308,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 372 | 77¢ → 95¢ | $353 | +$66 +23% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 361 | 52¢ → 96¢ | $345 | +$156 +82% |
| Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 359 | 68¢ → 96¢ | $343 | +$100 +41% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 436 | 67¢ → 78¢ | $338 | +$46 +16% |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 375 | 70¢ → 86¢ | $322 | +$60 +23% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,208 | 12¢ → 26¢ | $317 | +$169 +114% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 651 | 63¢ → 47¢ | $303 | −$104 −26% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 752 | 16¢ → 40¢ | $301 | +$180 +149% |
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 323 | 69¢ → 92¢ | $299 | +$77 +35% |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 428 | 23¢ → 68¢ | $289 | +$193 +199% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.25 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 369 | 27¢ → 78¢ | $288 | +$189 +190% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 524 | 43¢ → 54¢ | $283 | +$56 +25% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 337 | 10¢ → 83¢ | $280 | +$247 +748% |
| Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $25 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 302 | 76¢ → 92¢ | $276 | +$47 +21% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 452 | 75¢ → 60¢ | $269 | −$71 −21% |
| Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $48B?Ends in 60d | No | 319 | 72¢ → 83¢ | $265 | +$35 +15% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,573 | 51¢ → 17¢ | $260 | −$550 −68% |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 651 | 49¢ → 39¢ | $254 | −$68 −21% |
| Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | No | 701 | 16¢ → 36¢ | $252 | +$140 +125% |
| Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | Yes | 334 | 51¢ → 76¢ | $252 | +$82 +48% |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 367 | 50¢ → 68¢ | $249 | +$66 +36% |
| Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 291 | 67¢ → 85¢ | $248 | +$53 +27% |
| Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?Ends in 174d | Yes | 1,700 | 18¢ → 14¢ | $247 | −$65 −21% |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?Ends in 39d | Yes | 565 | 24¢ → 44¢ | $246 | +$108 +78% |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $318,000 and $323,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 711 | 27¢ → 34¢ | $245 | +$51 +26% |
| Will Analog Devices' Q4 Industrial revenue be above $2.1B?Ends in 31d | Yes | 319 | 52¢ → 76¢ | $242 | +$75 +45% |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 350 | 52¢ → 68¢ | $238 | +$54 +30% |
| Will Claude Opus's output price be at or below $10 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 278 | 76¢ → 85¢ | $236 | +$25 +12% |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 241 | 80¢ → 98¢ | $236 | +$43 +22% |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 434d | Yes | 650 | 44¢ → 36¢ | $231 | −$54 −19% |
| Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 958 | 40¢ → 24¢ | $230 | −$152 −40% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 310 | 63¢ → 72¢ | $221 | +$27 +14% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 236 | 76¢ → 92¢ | $217 | +$38 +21% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 337 | 44¢ → 61¢ | $204 | +$55 +36% |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 666 | 18¢ → 31¢ | $204 | +$83 +69% |
| Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 218 | 34¢ → 92¢ | $200 | +$125 +169% |
| Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 248 | 69¢ → 81¢ | $199 | +$28 +16% |
| Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 224 | 69¢ → 89¢ | $199 | +$45 +29% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 276 | 55¢ → 71¢ | $194 | +$43 +28% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 245 | 67¢ → 79¢ | $193 | +$29 +17% |
| Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by February 28, 2027?Ends in 128d | Yes | 254 | 50¢ → 74¢ | $187 | +$59 +46% |
| Will AbbVie Q3 Global Rinvoq net revenues be above $2.6B?Ends in 6d | Yes | 220 | 72¢ → 84¢ | $185 | +$26 +17% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 202 | 24¢ → 92¢ | $185 | +$136 +277% |
| Will Take-Two Q2 net bookings be above $1.80B?Ends in 16d | No | 218 | 69¢ → 84¢ | $183 | +$32 +21% |
| Will KLA Corp (KLAC) Q1 total revenues be above $3.95B?Ends in 4d | Yes | 191 | 68¢ → 95¢ | $182 | +$53 +41% |
| Visa (V) Q4 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 15.5%+?Ends in 3d | No | 210 | 75¢ → 87¢ | $182 | +$24 +15% |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 254 | 68¢ → 72¢ | $181 | +$10 +5.8% |
| Will Chevron (CVX) Q3 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.1M?Ends in 6d | No | 190 | 60¢ → 95¢ | $180 | +$66 +58% |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Ends in 159d | Yes | 231 | 72¢ → 77¢ | $178 | +$11 +6.3% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 251 | 54¢ → 71¢ | $177 | +$41 +30% |
| Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 220?Ends in 3d | Yes | 190 | 73¢ → 92¢ | $175 | +$35 +25% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 2d | Yes | 175 | 29¢ → >99¢ | $174 | +$124 +245% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 300 | 21¢ → 57¢ | $171 | +$107 +169% |
| Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?Ends in 3d | Yes | 248 | 57¢ → 69¢ | $171 | +$30 +21% |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 556 | 18¢ → 31¢ | $170 | +$71 +72% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 206 | 76¢ → 82¢ | $168 | +$12 +7.9% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 66¢ → 84¢ | $167 | +$35 +27% |
| Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 76d | No | 260 | 73¢ → 63¢ | $163 | −$26 −14% |
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man?Ends in 250d | No | 284 | 53¢ → 56¢ | $160 | +$9 +5.7% |
| Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 299 | 28¢ → 52¢ | $155 | +$71 +83% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 393 | 45¢ → 39¢ | $153 | −$22 −12% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 277 | 47¢ → 55¢ | $152 | +$23 +18% |
