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Polymarket wallet 0x5c1384d6f8316d5e5a75d00eb0c40394a257a7ee · on Polymarket since Aug 16, 2024 · also shown as Informal-Comment
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +0.1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 74¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +35% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +25% |
| Will Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.4% |
| White girlfriend who shot Black bf guilty?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | >99¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 26 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.