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Polymarket wallet 0x5df405e2c6d86e3536e1690ab87514b5068642f2 · on Polymarket since May 8, 2025 · also shown as Acrobatic-Cod
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECB rate cut in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 17 | 50¢ → 5¢ | $1 | −$8 −91% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 7 | 42¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$3 −87% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 7 | 15¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$1 −77% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 32 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| ECB rate hike in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.