Small-Sideburns

Polymarket wallet 0x638d809f32e9e45c91dd9ac3ead1551a2cc25536 · on Polymarket since Feb 20, 2025

Positions now worth: $52.8
All-time profit: −$33.5
Volume traded: $3.32K
All-time rank: #2,301,118
Markets traded: 53
Recent hit rate: 68%34 of last 50 closed

Open positions

2 markets · $52.8

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d	No	53	50¢ → 97¢	$51	+$25 +94%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d	Yes	53	50¢ → 3¢	$1	−$25 −95%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
239d	Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?	SellNo2¢	$0
289d	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by January 31?	BuyNo96¢	$9
290d	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?	BuyNo95¢	$9
290d	Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?	BuyNo85¢	$10
290d	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	BuyNo97¢	$5
292d	Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	BuyNo97¢	$6
292d	Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	BuyNo94¢	$9
292d	Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	BuyYes37¢	$9
292d	Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	BuyYes55¢	$10
292d	Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?	BuyNo42¢	$7
293d	Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	SellNo93¢	$5
293d	Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	SellNo90¢	$6
293d	Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?	SellNo36¢	$5
293d	Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?	SellYes89¢	$7
293d	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	SellNo16¢	$8
293d	Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	SellNo>99¢	$10
297d	Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?	SellNo92¢	$10
297d	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SellYes32¢	$7
298d	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	SellYes>99¢	$5
298d	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	SellYes>99¢	$5
301d	Will Israel strike Iraq by December 31?	BuyNo99¢	$6
302d	Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?	SellYes91¢	$6
303d	Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?	BuyNo54¢	$7
303d	Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?	BuyYes90¢	$6
303d	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	BuyNo19¢	$9
303d	Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BuyNo>99¢	$10
303d	Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?	BuyNo93¢	$10
303d	Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?	BuyYes87¢	$7
303d	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BuyYes41¢	$10
304d	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	SellNo94¢	$7
304d	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	SellNo11¢	$4
304d	Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	BuyNo95¢	$5
304d	Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	BuyNo94¢	$6
304d	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	SellYes90¢	$10
304d	Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?	SellYes7¢	$5
305d	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BuyNo16¢	$6
305d	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BuyNo88¢	$6
305d	Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?	BuyYes11¢	$8
306d	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	BuyYes96¢	$9
306d	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BuyYes85¢	$9
316d	Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?	SellYes>99¢	$18
343d	Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?	BuyYes99¢	$18
379d	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?	BuyYes98¢	$8
398d	Will India win Intervision 2025?	SellNo51¢	$4
398d	Will Venezuela win Intervision 2025?	SellNo45¢	$5
412d	Will Venezuela win Intervision 2025?	BuyNo97¢	$10
412d	Will India win Intervision 2025?	BuyNo98¢	$7
443d	Will GPT-5 be released on August 15 or later?	BuyNo97¢	$8
443d	Will MAS‑IPSP win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?	BuyNo98¢	$8
443d	Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?	BuyNo91¢	$9
467d	FIFA Club World Cup: 200+ Goals Scored?	SellNo100¢	$5
471d	FIFA Club World Cup: 200+ Goals Scored?	BuyNo98¢	$5
486d	Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?	SellYes92¢	$14
486d	Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?	SellNo99¢	$3
486d	Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?	SellNo99¢	$2
486d	Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?	SellNo100¢	$6
487d	Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?	BuyNo95¢	$5
487d	Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?	BuyNo97¢	$5
487d	Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?	BuyYes38¢	$6
509d	Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum	SellNo98¢	$6

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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