| Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 16d | No | 1,058 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $1,005 | +$116 +13% |
| Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 2d | No | 375 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $366 | +$37 +11% |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Joanna Garland vs Maddison InglisEnds in 7d | Joanna Garland | 500 | 45¢ → 45¢ | $223 | −$3 −1.1% |
| Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 2d | No | 201 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $201 | +$8 +4.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 75¢ → 87¢ | $173 | +$23 +15% |
| Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 179 | 94¢ → 92¢ | $165 | −$4 −2.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 400 | 81¢ → 35¢ | $139 | −$187 −57% |
| Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 2d | No | 135 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $134 | +$6 +4.7% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?Ends in 4h | Yes | 200 | 66¢ → 67¢ | $133 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 200 | 41¢ → 59¢ | $117 | +$35 +43% |
| Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 2d | No | 130 | 39¢ → 76¢ | $99 | +$48 +93% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 120 | 49¢ → 80¢ | $96 | +$38 +64% |
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $94 | +$10 +12% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Ends ended | No | 100 | 53¢ → 77¢ | $77 | +$24 +45% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 200 | 67¢ → 36¢ | $71 | −$63 −47% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 80 | 76¢ → 83¢ | $66 | +$6 +9.3% |
| Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 50 | 91¢ → 86¢ | $43 | −$2 −4.6% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 63¢ → 84¢ | $42 | +$10 +33% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 73¢ → 83¢ | $41 | +$5 +13% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 76¢ → 82¢ | $41 | +$3 +7.2% |
| Probable FDV above $400M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 44 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $40 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 40 | 53¢ → 85¢ | $34 | +$13 +59% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 49¢ → 31¢ | $31 | −$18 −37% |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 51¢ → 52¢ | $26 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 28 | 81¢ → 91¢ | $26 | +$3 +12% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $16 | +$1 +4.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 100 | 85¢ → 7¢ | $7 | −$79 −92% |
| Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 2d | No | 5 | 51¢ → 76¢ | $4 | +$1 +49% |
| Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 14.5Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$440 −100% |
| Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Talia GibsonSettled - ready to redeem | Maria Sakkari | 100 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$66 −100% |
| Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 211 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$144 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$156 −100% |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,055 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$184 −100% |
| Will "The Dog Stars" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Suzhou: Hanyu Guo vs Aliona FaleiSettled - ready to redeem | Hanyu Guo | 300 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$129 −100% |
| Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Gabriela Ruse vs Yulia PutintsevaSettled - ready to redeem | Gabriela Ruse | 700 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$400 −100% |
| Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 22.5Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou BergsSettled - ready to redeem | Ignacio Buse | 824 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$302 −100% |
| SHL: Timrå vs. Frölunda HCSettled - ready to redeem | Frölunda HC | 300 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$155 −100% |
| Roanne (Doubles): Jonge/Opitz vs Reynolds/WattSettled - ready to redeem | Reynolds/Watt | 5 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will "Primetime" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 51 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Magic vs. CavaliersSettled - ready to redeem | Magic | 500 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$177 −100% |
| McDonald's (MCD) Q2 global comparable sales growth <1.5%?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$73 −100% |
| W75 Le Neubourg: Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Yasmine MansouriSettled - ready to redeem | Yasmine Mansouri | 283 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$111 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPhone revenue be above $56.5B?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Catania: Yanaki Milev vs Federico IannacconeSettled - ready to redeem | Yanaki Milev | 300 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$144 −100% |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,150 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$148 −100% |
| Arike Ogunbowale: Points O/U 14.5Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 43 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Lisbon (Doubles): Cervantes/Molchanov vs Cornea/WehneltSettled - ready to redeem | Cervantes/Molchanov | 10 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 701 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$542 −100% |
| Will "Street Fighter" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Korea Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Maya JointSettled - ready to redeem | Lanlana Tararudee | 200 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$108 −100% |
| European Open: David Goffin vs Remy BertolaSettled - ready to redeem | Remy Bertola | 100 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$144 −100% |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,336 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$348 −100% |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 276 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$199 −100% |
| Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Cecilia Zandalasini: Points O/U 8.5Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo GiustinoSettled - ready to redeem | Andrea Pellegrino | 300 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$199 −100% |
| Roanne: Mika Brunold vs Benjamin BonziSettled - ready to redeem | Benjamin Bonzi | 5 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will "Super Troopers 3" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,218 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,026 −100% |
| Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Lloyd HarrisSettled - ready to redeem | Lloyd Harris | 400 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$271 −100% |
| Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Diana Shnaider vs Jelena OstapenkoSettled - ready to redeem | Diana Shnaider | 200 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$134 −100% |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,592 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$115 −100% |
| Will "Runner" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 572 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$366 −100% |
| China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah FernandezSettled - ready to redeem | Leylah Fernandez | 200 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$152 −100% |
| Will "By Any Means" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 671 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will "The Uprising" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 598 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| MODUS Super Series: Archie Self vs Jack AldridgeSettled - ready to redeem | Jack Aldridge | 43 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 450 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$263 −100% |
| Guangzhou: Alexandr Binda vs Fajing SunSettled - ready to redeem | Fajing Sun | 128 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$82 −100% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$330 −100% |
| Will "Forgotten Island" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will "Tony" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| W50 Quebec City: Mimi Xu vs Cadence BraceSettled - ready to redeem | Cadence Brace | 167 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$93 −100% |
| Genoa 2 (Doubles): Broska/Oradini vs Cervantes/MolchanovSettled - ready to redeem | Broska/Oradini | 50 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Francesco PassaroSettled - ready to redeem | Marco Trungelliti | 11 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$57 −100% |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil MedvedevSettled - ready to redeem | Daniil Medvedev | 300 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$188 −100% |
| Porto 2: Fausto Tabacco vs Alejo Sanchez QuilezSettled - ready to redeem | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 900 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$623 −100% |
| Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Anna BlinkovaSettled - ready to redeem | Anna Blinkova | 200 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$116 −100% |
| China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub MensikSettled - ready to redeem | Alexander Bublik | 800 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$306 −100% |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,740 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$215 −100% |
| Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 176 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$133 −100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$74 −100% |
| Braga: Sergi Perez Contri vs Nicolas BarrientosSettled - ready to redeem | Sergi Perez Contri | 400 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$276 −100% |
| Olbia: Tom Gentzsch vs Damir DzumhurSettled - ready to redeem | Tom Gentzsch | 200 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$98 −100% |
| China Open: Clara Tauson vs Polina KudermetovaSettled - ready to redeem | Clara Tauson | 50 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Roanne: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Clement TaburSettled - ready to redeem | Clement Tabur | 25 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 260 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$226 −100% |
| Will "Ice Cream Man" score at least 30 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 161 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will "Buddy" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Lyon Open (Doubles): Paul/Vocel vs Gonzalez/JebensSettled - ready to redeem | Paul/Vocel | 100 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$63 −100% |
| MODUS Super Series: Stuart Dutton vs Graham UsherSettled - ready to redeem | Graham Usher | 100 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$68 −100% |
| Olbia: Matyas Cerny vs Vadym UrsuSettled - ready to redeem | Vadym Ursu | 108 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$73 −100% |
