| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 993 | 59¢ → 65¢ | $649 | +$61 +10% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-24 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 381 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $366 | −$1 −0.4% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 994 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $278 | −$23 −7.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 248 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $240 | +$2 +0.9% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 241 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $231 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 183 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $175 | +$2 +1.0% |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 225 | 54¢ → 65¢ | $145 | +$25 +21% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?Ends in 2h | Yes | 120 | 87¢ → >99¢ | $120 | +$15 +14% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 11d | Yes | 120 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $120 | +$5 +4.1% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 11d | Yes | 120 | 95¢ → 91¢ | $110 | −$4 −3.6% |
| Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 121 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $109 | +$10 +10.0% |
| Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Ends ended | Yes | 106 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $104 | +$13 +14% |
| Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Ends ended | Yes | 102 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $98 | +$6 +6.6% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 122 | 66¢ → 78¢ | $95 | +$15 +18% |
| Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Ends ended | Yes | 100 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $93 | +$7 +8.5% |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Ends in 81d | Yes | 121 | 44¢ → 72¢ | $87 | +$33 +62% |
| Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 120 | 63¢ → 67¢ | $81 | +$5 +6.0% |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?Ends in 79d | Yes | 120 | 61¢ → 67¢ | $80 | +$7 +9.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-04 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 81 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $78 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 222 | 27¢ → 34¢ | $76 | +$16 +26% |
| Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 73 | 64¢ → 98¢ | $71 | +$24 +52% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 99d | Yes | 71 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $68 | +$3 +4.7% |
| Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Ends in 36d | Yes | 71 | 81¢ → 95¢ | $67 | +$10 +17% |
| Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 71 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $67 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | Yes | 84 | 12¢ → 80¢ | $67 | +$56 +537% |
| Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 3d | Yes | 68 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $67 | +$3 +4.8% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 71 | 79¢ → 89¢ | $63 | +$7 +12% |
| Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 89d | Yes | 72 | 47¢ → 78¢ | $56 | +$22 +65% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 96d | Yes | 83 | 55¢ → 68¢ | $56 | +$10 +22% |
| Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?Ends in 81d | Yes | 56 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $55 | +$5 +9.5% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 57 | 70¢ → 87¢ | $49 | +$10 +24% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 70 | 68¢ → 70¢ | $49 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?Ends ended | Yes | 53 | 21¢ → 91¢ | $48 | +$37 +335% |
| Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0%?Ends in 60d | Yes | 126 | 52¢ → 38¢ | $48 | −$18 −27% |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?Ends in 100d | Yes | 111 | 37¢ → 43¢ | $48 | +$7 +18% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 70 | 19¢ → 66¢ | $46 | +$33 +249% |
| Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 51 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $46 | +$2 +3.6% |
| Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?Ends in 60d | Yes | 120 | 31¢ → 37¢ | $45 | +$7 +19% |
| Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 76d | Yes | 46 | 62¢ → 97¢ | $44 | +$16 +55% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 60 | 37¢ → 69¢ | $41 | +$19 +86% |
| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?Ends in 8d | Yes | 50 | 39¢ → 82¢ | $41 | +$22 +111% |
| Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 40 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $39 | +$4 +13% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 40 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $39 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 40 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $39 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,017 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $38 | +$5 +14% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?Ends in 18d | Yes | 40 | 83¢ → 89¢ | $36 | +$2 +7.2% |
| Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 120 | 30¢ → 29¢ | $35 | −$1 −3.3% |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,006 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $34 | −$30 −47% |
| Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?Ends in 70d | Yes | 41 | 78¢ → 83¢ | $34 | +$2 +6.4% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 41 | 60¢ → 82¢ | $33 | +$9 +36% |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?Ends in 100d | Yes | 110 | 34¢ → 29¢ | $32 | −$5 −13% |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?Ends in 79d | Yes | 120 | 34¢ → 26¢ | $31 | −$10 −24% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Ends in 89d | Yes | 60 | 56¢ → 50¢ | $30 | −$4 −11% |
| Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 47 | 57¢ → 63¢ | $29 | +$3 +10% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 6,000,000 and 6,500,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 72 | 46¢ → 41¢ | $29 | −$4 −11% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?Ends in 83d | Yes | 50 | 23¢ → 58¢ | $29 | +$17 +147% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,600,000 and 4,800,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 70 | 48¢ → 41¢ | $29 | −$5 −16% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 29 | 76¢ → 97¢ | $28 | +$6 +28% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 69d | Yes | 36 | 73¢ → 80¢ | $28 | +$2 +8.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 23?Ends ended | Yes | 28 | 44¢ → 99¢ | $27 | +$15 +125% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 41 | 69¢ → 67¢ | $27 | −$1 −3.6% |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 30 | 65¢ → 90¢ | $27 | +$7 +38% |
| Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M?Ends in 1d | Yes | 25 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $25 | +$3 +13% |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 30 | 34¢ → 81¢ | $24 | +$14 +138% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 96d | Yes | 82 | 36¢ → 30¢ | $24 | −$5 −18% |
| Will Aida Hadžialić be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?Ends ended | Yes | 24 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $24 | +$1 +3.0% |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Ends in 86d | Yes | 60 | 38¢ → 40¢ | $24 | +$1 +5.8% |
| Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 30 | 66¢ → 79¢ | $24 | +$4 +20% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 41 | 54¢ → 59¢ | $24 | +$2 +8.3% |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 30 | 69¢ → 77¢ | $23 | +$2 +11% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 71 | 78¢ → 32¢ | $23 | −$32 −59% |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?Ends in 9d | Yes | 53 | 39¢ → 43¢ | $23 | +$2 +8.1% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 39 | 54¢ → 58¢ | $22 | +$2 +7.4% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 41 | 46¢ → 53¢ | $21 | +$3 +14% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 70 | 31¢ → 30¢ | $21 | −$1 −2.4% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Ends in 89d | Yes | 63 | 24¢ → 34¢ | $21 | +$6 +40% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 30 | 64¢ → 69¢ | $21 | +$2 +8.7% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | Yes | 26 | 18¢ → 79¢ | $21 | +$16 +339% |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?Ends in 100d | Yes | 111 | 16¢ → 19¢ | $21 | +$3 +20% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 21 | 38¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$13 +160% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 24?Ends in 2h | Yes | 41 | 33¢ → 49¢ | $20 | +$7 +49% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 15¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$17 +557% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 20 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 20 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 20 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $19 | +$2 +13% |
| Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin 24% to 26%?Ends in 4d | Yes | 30 | 83¢ → 64¢ | $19 | −$6 −23% |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?Ends in 18d | Yes | 20 | 68¢ → 90¢ | $18 | +$4 +32% |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Ends in 111d | Yes | 20 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $18 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 47 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 125 | 23¢ → 14¢ | $18 | −$11 −39% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 24?Ends in 2h | Yes | 33 | 25¢ → 52¢ | $17 | +$9 +106% |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 5% to 6.5%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 29 | 22¢ → 57¢ | $17 | +$10 +159% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 20 | 90¢ → 82¢ | $17 | −$2 −8.9% |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?Ends in 81d | Yes | 120 | 34¢ → 13¢ | $16 | −$25 −61% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 24 | 67¢ → 66¢ | $16 | −$0 −1.5% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 41 | 30¢ → 39¢ | $16 | +$4 +28% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,800,000 and 5,000,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 74 | 19¢ → 22¢ | $16 | +$2 +13% |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 29 | 60¢ → 52¢ | $15 | −$2 −13% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | Yes | 80 | 85¢ → 19¢ | $15 | −$53 −78% |
| Will the Bills win the season series against the Dolphins during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d | Yes | 20 | 33¢ → 76¢ | $15 | +$9 +128% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 30 | 21¢ → 50¢ | $15 | +$9 +135% |
