| Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 28¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$14 +257% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 30% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 68¢ → 95¢ | $19 | +$5 +40% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 75% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 67¢ → 94¢ | $19 | +$5 +40% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 40% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 18 | 66¢ → 96¢ | $17 | +$5 +46% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be 1,700,000 or more?Ends in 11d | No | 20 | 68¢ → 86¢ | $17 | +$4 +27% |
| Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms?Ends in 14d | Yes | 20 | 76¢ → 84¢ | $17 | +$2 +11% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 12% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 14 | 72¢ → 95¢ | $13 | +$3 +32% |
| Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 78¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$2 +28% |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 81¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$2 +23% |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$2 +18% |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 58.0 and 58.9 in October?Ends in 9d | No | 10 | 82¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$2 +22% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 79¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$2 +26% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 71¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$3 +40% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 55% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 75¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$2 +33% |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in October?Ends in 9d | No | 10 | 77¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$2 +29% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 77¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$2 +29% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 30% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 65¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$3 +52% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 45% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 73¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$3 +35% |
| Will Saquon Barkley win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Ends in 128d | No | 10 | 83¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$2 +19% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 30% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$2 +29% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 75% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 75¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$2 +30% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 18% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$1 +15% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-23 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 78¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$2 +25% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 80¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$2 +22% |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10 | 19¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$8 +412% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 40% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$2 +28% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 40% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$2 +25% |
| Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$1 +14% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$1 +12% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-07 House election by 85% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$2 +27% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 18% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$1 +15% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be 3,800,000 or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$1 +12% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$2 +26% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 25% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$2 +25% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election by 70% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 73¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$2 +31% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 78¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$2 +22% |
| Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 82¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$1 +16% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 78¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$2 +21% |
| Will Tee Higgins finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving touchdowns?Ends in 95d | No | 10 | 79¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$1 +19% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,750,000 and 4,000,000?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 64¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$3 +48% |
| Will Michigan Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?Ends ended | No | 10 | 65¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$3 +44% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 60% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$2 +23% |
| Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Ends ended | No | 10 | 19¢ → 93¢ | $9 | +$7 +387% |
| Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 60¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$3 +54% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 78¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$1 +18% |
| Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Ends ended | No | 10 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $9 | +$1 +16% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be 1,800,000 or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $9 | +$1 +9.5% |
| Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 10 | 16¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$7 +474% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-10 House election by 30% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 80¢ → 88¢ | $9 | +$1 +10% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-02 House election by 5% or more?Ends in 10d | Yes | 20 | <1¢ → 43¢ | $9 | +$8 +21253% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 10 | 61¢ → 83¢ | $8 | +$2 +35% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada Attorney General election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 10 | 72¢ → 81¢ | $8 | +$1 +13% |
| Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 75¢ → 81¢ | $8 | +$1 +7.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by 30% or more?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 78¢ → 80¢ | $8 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 50¢ → 79¢ | $8 | +$3 +57% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 58¢ → 78¢ | $8 | +$2 +34% |
| Will "God's Plan" by Drake be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Ends in 41d | No | 10 | 63¢ → 78¢ | $8 | +$2 +24% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Attorney General election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 10 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $8 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will USC Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?Ends ended | No | 10 | 47¢ → 76¢ | $8 | +$3 +62% |
| Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 47¢ → 75¢ | $7 | +$3 +59% |
| Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 64¢ → 75¢ | $7 | +$1 +16% |
| Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 71¢ → 69¢ | $7 | −$0 −2.8% |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 35¢ → 63¢ | $6 | +$3 +80% |
| Will Grüne be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Ends ended | No | 10 | 36¢ → 61¢ | $6 | +$2 +69% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?Ends in 11d | No | 10 | 32¢ → 53¢ | $5 | +$2 +64% |
| Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 53¢ → 50¢ | $5 | −$0 −5.7% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 17¢ → 22¢ | $4 | +$1 +30% |
| Will Alabama Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?Ends ended | No | 10 | 49¢ → 43¢ | $4 | −$1 −13% |
| Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Ends in 36d | Yes | 10 | 11¢ → 41¢ | $4 | +$3 +273% |
| Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Ends in 15d | No | 10 | 54¢ → 41¢ | $4 | −$1 −24% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 10 | 34¢ → 40¢ | $4 | +$1 +16% |
| Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 26¢ → 33¢ | $3 | +$1 +27% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Attorney General election?Ends in 10d | No | 10 | 25¢ → 33¢ | $3 | +$1 +30% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 14¢ → 16¢ | $3 | +$0 +10% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 10 | 15¢ → 29¢ | $3 | +$1 +93% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 10 | 64¢ → 25¢ | $2 | −$4 −61% |
| Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Ends in 85d | Yes | 10 | 16¢ → 24¢ | $2 | +$1 +50% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 20¢ → 23¢ | $2 | +$0 +13% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 23¢ → 21¢ | $2 | −$0 −11% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-19 House election by 21% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 17¢ → 21¢ | $2 | +$0 +21% |
| Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 12¢ → 20¢ | $2 | +$1 +63% |
| Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?Ends in 23d | No | 10 | 16¢ → 17¢ | $2 | +$0 +4.2% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 29¢ → 17¢ | $2 | −$1 −41% |
| Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Ends ended | No | 10 | 15¢ → 13¢ | $1 | −$0 −12% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 6% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 16¢ → 13¢ | $1 | −$0 −22% |
| Will the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?Ends in 85d | Yes | 10 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 18% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $1 | −$0 −10% |
| Plague case in US by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 11¢ → 8¢ | $1 | −$0 −32% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 12% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 11¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$1 −48% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 20 | 14¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$2 −85% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 12% or more?Ends in 11d | Yes | 10 | 11¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$1 −66% |
| Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will there be no OpenAI Astra model release by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Leavitt say "Alien" during the next White House Press Briefing?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
