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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $11.5K | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14h | johndoez | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BuyNo98¢ | $1,748 | −$1 −0.0% | 11 |
| 1d | Addarash | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | SellNo98¢ | $2,166 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 2d | cocococococo2 fills | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | SellNo98¢ | $2,702 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 3d | BrightStars | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 98¢ | $1,623 | +$14 +0.9% | — |
| 3d | lug2 fills | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | SellNo89¢ → 98¢ | $10,239 | −$1,090 −11% | — |
| 4d | BrightStars | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $1,616 | −$7 −0.5% | 11 |
| 4d | TexMexTRex | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $2,067 | −$10 −0.5% | 11 |
| 4d | livepo1y | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $5,030 | −$18 −0.4% | 11 |
| 4d | lug | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $2,046 | −$2 −0.1% | 11 |
| 6d | nonkenny902 fills | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BuyNo98¢ | $2,557 | +$13 +0.5% | 11 |
| 12d | whig2 fills | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | SellNo98¢ | $6,132 | −$50 −0.8% | — |
| 13d | Addarash3 fills | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $3,968 | +$47 +1.2% | 12 |
| 14d | 57284910 | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BuyNo98¢ | $6,137 | +$43 +0.7% | 11 |
| 17d | 0x49F206 | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 98¢ | $2,547 | −$33 −1.3% | — |
| 19d |  mrworldwide2 fills | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $8,101 | −$240 −3.0% | — |
| 28d | mrworldwide | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 98¢ | $6,831 | +$341 +5.0% | 14 |
| 33d | Eatpraylove | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 98¢ | $1,195 | −$74 −6.2% | — |
| 34d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 98¢ | $1,203 | −$71 −5.9% | — |
| 37d | KiernanMeister2 fills | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 98¢ | $12,145 | −$647 −5.3% | — |
| 50d | Cryptobahemith2 fills | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 98¢ | $8,400 | +$504 +6.0% | 15 |
| 61d | KiernanMeister | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BuyNo92¢ → 98¢ | $1,836 | +$135 +7.4% | 14 |
| 64d | pagliacci4 | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | SellNo92¢ → 98¢ | $1,189 | −$77 −6.5% | — |
| 76d | dateapot | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 98¢ | $1,317 | +$77 +5.9% | 12 |
| 90d | whig2 fills | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BuyNo89¢ → 98¢ | $4,138 | +$458 +11% | 18 |
| 91d | Scalpoor2 fills | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BuyNo87¢ → 98¢ | $6,882 | +$868 +13% | 18 |
| 111d | GamGanapati | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | SellNo85¢ → 98¢ | $1,863 | −$289 −16% | — |
| 112d | KiernanMeister | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BuyYes15¢ → 2¢ | $1,324 | −$1,184 −89% | 21 |
| 129d | cocococococo2 fills | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BuyNo87¢ → 98¢ | $2,458 | +$339 +14% | 18 |
| 138d | idfinsider02282 fills | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BuyYes16¢ → 2¢ | $2,920 | −$2,635 −90% | 37 |
| 140d |  ScottyNooo3 fills | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BuyNo86¢ → 98¢ | $6,162 | +$858 +14% | 19 |
| 154d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389352 fills | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BuyNo86¢ → 98¢ | $2,782 | +$421 +15% | 19 |
| 155d | DanyBedard | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BuyYes16¢ → 2¢ | $1,500 | −$1,359 −91% | 23 |
| 155d |  tocr | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | SellNo88¢ → 98¢ | $1,034 | −$128 −12% | — |
| 207d | Dog8-024 | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BuyYes18¢ → 2¢ | $1,000 | −$914 −91% | 17 |
winnings7,800 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 2¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 2%.