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Polymarket wallet 0x79a83c9b8b418fe5920216687ab7955d83b944c4 · on Polymarket since Feb 12, 2026 · also shown as Jaunty-Recess
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55d | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo76¢ | $20 |
| 55d | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals AND Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigers AND Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins AND Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals AND Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays AND Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | Buy11¢ | $2 |
| 59d | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $5 |
| 59d | Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals AND Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins AND Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays AND Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers | Buy3¢ | $3 |
| 67d | Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Esport BERG (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-In AND LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group AND Honor of Kings: Mighty Tiger Gaming vs WanZhen Esports Club (BO5) - KPL Growth League Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group D AND LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs | Buy3¢ | $6 |
| 67d | Dana White's Contender Series: Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Perez (Lightweight, Main Card) AND Dana White's Contender Series: Kaik Brito vs. Namo Fazil (Welterweight, Main Card) AND Dana White's Contender Series: Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) AND Dana White's Contender Series: Roman Puga vs. Taner Trembley (Featherweight, Main Card) AND Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card) | Buy2¢ | $6 |
| 97d | UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims) AND UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims) AND UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card) AND UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims) AND UFC Fight Night: Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card) | Buy3¢ | $20 |
| 97d | UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card) AND UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims) AND UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card) AND France vs. England: Team to Win | Buy14¢ | $9 |
| 97d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes40¢ | $12 |
| 112d | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyYes17¢ | $10 |
| 112d | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyNo17¢ | $10 |
| 116d | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? | BuyYes6¢ | $5 |
| 116d | Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BuyYes11¢ | $10 |
| 121d | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes8¢ | $103 |
| 246d | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $8 |
| 246d | Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
| 246d | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BuyYes14¢ | $15 |
| 247d | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by April 30, 2026? | BuyYes30¢ | $10 |
| 248d | Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in March 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $10 |
| 248d | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in March 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
| 248d | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in March 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $5 |
| 248d | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in March 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
| 248d | Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? | BuyYes4¢ | $5 |
| 248d | Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings? | BuyNo9¢ | $7 |
| 248d | Grok 4.20 released by February 28? | BuyNo1¢ | $20 |
| 248d | Will Backpack launch a token by March 31? | BuyNo9¢ | $10 |
| 248d | Will SpaceX have exactly 8 launches in February? | BuyYes3¢ | $5 |
| 248d | Will SpaceX have exactly 9 launches in February? | BuyYes3¢ | $5 |
| 248d | Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in February? | BuyYes2¢ | $5 |
| 248d | Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February? | BuyNo5¢ | $10 |
| 248d | Will the DHS shutdown last 10 days or more? | BuyNo3¢ | $8 |
| 248d | Will the DHS shutdown last 10 days or more? | BuyNo3¢ | $5 |
| 248d | Will the DHS shutdown last 7 days or more? | BuyNo1¢ | $10 |
| 248d | Will the DHS shutdown last 5 days or more? | BuyNo<1¢ | $10 |
| 248d | Will the US strike Somalia next? | BuyNo17¢ | $5 |
| 248d | Will the US strike Iran next? | BuyYes6¢ | $6 |
| 248d | Will the US strike another country first? | BuyYes2¢ | $7 |
| 248d | Will the US strike Venezuela next? | BuyYes1¢ | $4 |
| 248d | Will the US not strike another country before 2027? | BuyYes<1¢ | $7 |
| 248d | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $20 |
| 249d | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $20 |
| 249d | Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BuyYes9¢ | $7 |
| 249d | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | SellYes5¢ | $16 |
| 249d | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | BuyYes26¢ | $10 |
| 251d | Will Gwendolyn Beck be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026? | BuyNo56¢ | $5 |
| 251d | Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026? | BuyYes44¢ | $8 |
| 251d | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | BuyNatus Vincere13¢ | $2 |
| 251d | Will Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (February 22) | BuyYes66¢ | $3 |
| 251d | Will JD Vance say "Iran" or "Ukraine" during the fundraiser? | BuyYes60¢ | $6 |
| 251d | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | BuyYes8¢ | $3 |
| 251d | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $6 |
| 251d | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026? | BuyYes8¢ | $4 |
| 252d | Will Trump say "Penguin" in February? | BuyYes14¢ | $5 |
| 252d | ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28? | BuyYes6¢ | $8 |
| 252d | US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $4 |
| 252d | US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $3 |
| 252d | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $6 |
| 253d | Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by February 28? | BuyYes21¢ | $6 |
| 253d | Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days? | BuyYes20¢ | $6 |
| 253d | Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days? | BuyYes3¢ | $8 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.