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Polymarket wallet 0x8539056c79fe9850c48018e0bd582e1d76ec2a48 · on Polymarket since Jul 8, 2026 · also shown as Hard-Dog-Trader
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,200 | 23¢ → 6¢ | $66 | −$210 −76% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 113 | 70¢ → 34¢ | $38 | −$41 −52% |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 12,000 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $6 | −$54 −90% |
| Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 400 | 64¢ → 2¢ | $6 | −$250 −98% |
| Social Security insolvent by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | No | 2 | 52¢ → 88¢ | $2 | +$1 +69% |
| Will Jean-Michel Basquiat be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Ends in 160d | Yes | 12 | 9¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −88% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?Ends in 28d | Yes | 4 | 18¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −81% |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16,679 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11,614 −100% |
| Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,200 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,200 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$228 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 24 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.