UrsulaFrederick

Polymarket wallet 0x8f197c8eacac0fb379b13de274e359559c7671e0 · on Polymarket since Nov 12, 2025 · also shown as Regular-Ladybug

Open on Polymarket ↗@amarildojuvena ↗

Positions now worth: $13.1
All-time profit: −$1.99K
Volume traded: $61.3K
All-time rank: #3,125,482
Markets traded: 168
Recent hit rate: 100%50 of last 50 closed

Open positions

84 markets · $13.1

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	99¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +1.5%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	99¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +1.1%
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	99¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +1.1%
Will Grok be the next CEO of X?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	99¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +1.0%
Will Gabriel Haines win the Defi App trading competition?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	99¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +1.0%
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	99¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +0.8%
Will TurkXBT win the Defi App trading competition?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	99¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +0.8%
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	99¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +0.8%
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	99¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +0.8%
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	99¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +0.7%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	99¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +0.6%
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of January?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	99¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +0.5%
Will Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	>99¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +0.4%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$600 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	380	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$190 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	70	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$35 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$600 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	800	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$400 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	300	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$150 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	160	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$80 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	300	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$150 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$600 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	700	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$350 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	300	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$150 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	90	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$45 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	600	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$600 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
281d	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of January?	BuyNo99¢	$1
292d	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?	BuyNo99¢	$1
301d	Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?	BuyNo99¢	$1
315d	Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 10?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
316d	Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?	BuyNo99¢	$1
317d	Will Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
318d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 10?	BuyNo100¢	$1
319d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 9?	BuyNo99¢	$1
321d	Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?	BuyNo99¢	$1
322d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 5?	BuyNo99¢	$1
323d	Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?	BuyNo99¢	$1
324d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 3?	BuyNo100¢	$1
325d	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?	BuyNo99¢	$1
326d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 2?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
328d	Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2025?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
328d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$150
328d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$200
328d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$135
328d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$3
328d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$3
328d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$3
328d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$3
328d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$3
328d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$150
328d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$200
328d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$150
328d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$300
328d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$100
328d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$250
328d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$150
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$200
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$250
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$200
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$10
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$140
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$113
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$287
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$3
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$98
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$150
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$250
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$8
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$192
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$29
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$171
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$185
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$5
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$200
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$189
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$10
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$200
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$199
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$82
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	BuyUp50¢	$119
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$200
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$2
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$3
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$195
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$200
329d	Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$200

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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